Storyline
Ernest Ferguson entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.5520. Across 20 rated doubles games, the player went 7-13 and moved -0.0672, finishing at 3.4848.
Why It Moved
AI-generated explanation: The 7-13 record produced +0.0626 from wins and -0.1298 from losses, for a net move of -0.0672. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0168 against Joel Lancaster as partner and Mike Long / Ken Lomando as opponents. In game #5 on 2026-09-10, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.6142 vs opponent team 3.3252.
Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.
Ernest's most common partner signals so far: Ken Lomando (2-2, 50%), Mike Long (0-3, 0%), Edward Gainer (1-1, 50%), Kenneth Enos (1-1, 50%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.
Ernest has faced Ken Lomando 6 times - record: 1-5. A tough matchup so far.
Session Summary
| Date | W-L | Start | End | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | 1-3 | 3.5520 | 3.5314 | -0.0206 |
| 2026-09-10 | 1-3 | 3.5314 | 3.5085 | -0.0229 |
| 2026-09-17 | 2-2 | 3.5085 | 3.5050 | -0.0035 |
| 2026-10-01 | 2-2 | 3.5050 | 3.5048 | -0.0002 |
| 2026-10-29 | 1-3 | 3.5048 | 3.4848 | -0.0200 |
Game-By-Game Rating Trail
| # | Date | Result | Score | Partner | Opponents | Before | Change | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 8-11 | Robert McCollough | Dennis Berrigan / Mathis Hediger | 3.5520 | -0.0117 | 3.5403 |
| 2 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 7-11 | Ken Lomando | Mathis Hediger / Robert McCollough | 3.5403 | -0.0116 | 3.5287 |
| 3 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 9-11 | Mathis Hediger | Dennis Berrigan / Ken Lomando | 3.5287 | -0.0079 | 3.5208 |
| 4 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Win | 11-1 | Dennis Berrigan | Robert McCollough / Ken Lomando | 3.5208 | +0.0106 | 3.5314 |
| 5 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 7-11 | Joel Lancaster | Mike Long / Ken Lomando | 3.5314 | -0.0168 | 3.5146 |
| 6 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Win | 11-0 | Kenneth Enos | Joel Lancaster / Mike Long | 3.5146 | +0.0075 | 3.5221 |
| 7 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 2-11 | Mike Long | Ken Lomando / Kenneth Enos | 3.5221 | -0.0049 | 3.5172 |
| 8 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 9-11 | Ken Lomando | Joel Lancaster / Kenneth Enos | 3.5172 | -0.0087 | 3.5085 |
| 9 | 2026-09-17 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 7-11 | Mike Long | Edward Gainer / Kenneth Enos | 3.5085 | -0.0046 | 3.5039 |
| 10 | 2026-09-17 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Win | 11-5 | Kevin Geraty | Edward Gainer / Mike Long | 3.5039 | +0.0055 | 3.5094 |
| 11 | 2026-09-17 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 8-11 | Kenneth Enos | Kevin Geraty / Mike Long | 3.5094 | -0.0148 | 3.4946 |
| 12 | 2026-09-17 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Win | 11-10 | Edward Gainer | Kevin Geraty / Kenneth Enos | 3.4946 | +0.0104 | 3.5050 |
| 13 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Win | 11-5 | Ken Lomando | Kevin Geraty / Mathis Hediger | 3.5050 | +0.0094 | 3.5144 |
| 14 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 8-11 | Kevin Geraty | Mathis Hediger / Ken Lomando | 3.5144 | -0.0106 | 3.5038 |
| 15 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 4-11 | Mathis Hediger | Kevin Geraty / Ken Lomando | 3.5038 | -0.0081 | 3.4957 |
| 16 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Win | 11-5 | Ken Lomando | Kevin Geraty / Mathis Hediger | 3.4957 | +0.0091 | 3.5048 |
| 17 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 7-11 | Jim Crocker | John Leroy Murphy Jr / Mike Long | 3.5048 | -0.0125 | 3.4923 |
| 18 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 6-11 | Mike Long | John Leroy Murphy Jr / Edward Gainer | 3.4923 | -0.0053 | 3.4870 |
| 19 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Win | 11-9 | John Leroy Murphy Jr | Jim Crocker / Edward Gainer | 3.4870 | +0.0101 | 3.4971 |
| 20 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 7-11 | Edward Gainer | Jim Crocker / Mike Long | 3.4971 | -0.0123 | 3.4848 |
Formula Homework
These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.
| # | Player Team ( AVG ) | Opponent Team ( AVG ) | Winner-Loser VIPR Diff | Computed Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.5528 | 3.4942 | -0.0586 | -0.0117 |
| 2 | 3.5529 | 3.4960 | -0.0568 | -0.0116 |
| 3 | 3.4999 | 3.5722 | +0.0723 | -0.0079 |
| 4 | 3.5397 | 3.5618 | -0.0221 | +0.0106 |
| 5 | 3.6142 | 3.3252 | -0.2890 | -0.0168 |
| 6 | 3.4973 | 3.4073 | +0.0900 | +0.0075 |
| 7 | 3.3268 | 3.5218 | +0.1950 | -0.0049 |
| 8 | 3.5371 | 3.5812 | +0.0441 | -0.0087 |
| 9 | 3.3306 | 3.5395 | +0.2090 | -0.0046 |
| 10 | 3.5165 | 3.3467 | +0.1698 | +0.0055 |
| 11 | 3.5161 | 3.3363 | -0.1798 | -0.0148 |
| 12 | 3.5165 | 3.5317 | -0.0152 | +0.0104 |
| 13 | 3.5259 | 3.5044 | +0.0216 | +0.0094 |
| 14 | 3.5247 | 3.5056 | -0.0191 | -0.0106 |
| 15 | 3.4889 | 3.5552 | +0.0663 | -0.0081 |
| 16 | 3.5279 | 3.4960 | +0.0319 | +0.0091 |
| 17 | 3.5331 | 3.4457 | -0.0874 | -0.0125 |
| 18 | 3.3999 | 3.5775 | +0.1776 | -0.0053 |
| 19 | 3.5484 | 3.5512 | -0.0028 | +0.0101 |
| 20 | 3.5104 | 3.4276 | -0.0828 | -0.0123 |
Rating movement formula
Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.
Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).
Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.
Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.
First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.0586 -> computed delta -0.0117; 3.5520 -0.0117 = 3.5403