VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Ernest Ferguson

Member ID: TVCPC-P0048   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.5520 -> 3.4848
Net -0.0672   Record 7-13   Win Rate 35%   Games 20
Initial VIPR
3.5520
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.4848
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0672
Current minus initial
Record
7-13
35% win rate · 20 rated games

Storyline

Ernest Ferguson entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.5520. Across 20 rated doubles games, the player went 7-13 and moved -0.0672, finishing at 3.4848.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 7-13 record produced +0.0626 from wins and -0.1298 from losses, for a net move of -0.0672. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0168 against Joel Lancaster as partner and Mike Long / Ken Lomando as opponents. In game #5 on 2026-09-10, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.6142 vs opponent team 3.3252.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Ernest's most common partner signals so far: Ken Lomando (2-2, 50%), Mike Long (0-3, 0%), Edward Gainer (1-1, 50%), Kenneth Enos (1-1, 50%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Ernest has faced Ken Lomando 6 times - record: 1-5. A tough matchup so far.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-09-03 1-3 3.5520 3.5314 -0.0206
2026-09-10 1-3 3.5314 3.5085 -0.0229
2026-09-17 2-2 3.5085 3.5050 -0.0035
2026-10-01 2-2 3.5050 3.5048 -0.0002
2026-10-29 1-3 3.5048 3.4848 -0.0200

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 Robert McCollough Dennis Berrigan / Mathis Hediger 3.5520 -0.0117 3.5403
2 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Ken Lomando Mathis Hediger / Robert McCollough 3.5403 -0.0116 3.5287
3 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 Mathis Hediger Dennis Berrigan / Ken Lomando 3.5287 -0.0079 3.5208
4 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-1 Dennis Berrigan Robert McCollough / Ken Lomando 3.5208 +0.0106 3.5314
5 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Joel Lancaster Mike Long / Ken Lomando 3.5314 -0.0168 3.5146
6 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-0 Kenneth Enos Joel Lancaster / Mike Long 3.5146 +0.0075 3.5221
7 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 2-11 Mike Long Ken Lomando / Kenneth Enos 3.5221 -0.0049 3.5172
8 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 Ken Lomando Joel Lancaster / Kenneth Enos 3.5172 -0.0087 3.5085
9 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Mike Long Edward Gainer / Kenneth Enos 3.5085 -0.0046 3.5039
10 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Kevin Geraty Edward Gainer / Mike Long 3.5039 +0.0055 3.5094
11 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 Kenneth Enos Kevin Geraty / Mike Long 3.5094 -0.0148 3.4946
12 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-10 Edward Gainer Kevin Geraty / Kenneth Enos 3.4946 +0.0104 3.5050
13 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-5 Ken Lomando Kevin Geraty / Mathis Hediger 3.5050 +0.0094 3.5144
14 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 8-11 Kevin Geraty Mathis Hediger / Ken Lomando 3.5144 -0.0106 3.5038
15 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 4-11 Mathis Hediger Kevin Geraty / Ken Lomando 3.5038 -0.0081 3.4957
16 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-5 Ken Lomando Kevin Geraty / Mathis Hediger 3.4957 +0.0091 3.5048
17 2026-10-29
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Jim Crocker John Leroy Murphy Jr / Mike Long 3.5048 -0.0125 3.4923
18 2026-10-29
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 6-11 Mike Long John Leroy Murphy Jr / Edward Gainer 3.4923 -0.0053 3.4870
19 2026-10-29
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-9 John Leroy Murphy Jr Jim Crocker / Edward Gainer 3.4870 +0.0101 3.4971
20 2026-10-29
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Edward Gainer Jim Crocker / Mike Long 3.4971 -0.0123 3.4848

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.5528 3.4942 -0.0586 -0.0117
2 3.5529 3.4960 -0.0568 -0.0116
3 3.4999 3.5722 +0.0723 -0.0079
4 3.5397 3.5618 -0.0221 +0.0106
5 3.6142 3.3252 -0.2890 -0.0168
6 3.4973 3.4073 +0.0900 +0.0075
7 3.3268 3.5218 +0.1950 -0.0049
8 3.5371 3.5812 +0.0441 -0.0087
9 3.3306 3.5395 +0.2090 -0.0046
10 3.5165 3.3467 +0.1698 +0.0055
11 3.5161 3.3363 -0.1798 -0.0148
12 3.5165 3.5317 -0.0152 +0.0104
13 3.5259 3.5044 +0.0216 +0.0094
14 3.5247 3.5056 -0.0191 -0.0106
15 3.4889 3.5552 +0.0663 -0.0081
16 3.5279 3.4960 +0.0319 +0.0091
17 3.5331 3.4457 -0.0874 -0.0125
18 3.3999 3.5775 +0.1776 -0.0053
19 3.5484 3.5512 -0.0028 +0.0101
20 3.5104 3.4276 -0.0828 -0.0123

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.0586 -> computed delta -0.0117; 3.5520 -0.0117 = 3.5403