VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Jerry Stotts

Member ID: TVCPC-P0063   Generated: 2026-07-23 05:16 PM

4.0060 -> 3.9762
Net -0.0298   Record 3-5   Win Rate 38%   Games 8
Initial VIPR
4.0060
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.9762
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0298
Current minus initial
Record
3-5
38% win rate · 8 rated games

Storyline

Jerry Stotts entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 4.0060. Across 8 rated doubles games, the player went 3-5 and moved -0.0298, finishing at 3.9762.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 3-5 record produced +0.0320 from wins and -0.0618 from losses, for a net move of -0.0298. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0148 against Ken Vallance as partner and William Danny Webster / Chris Donahue as opponents. In game #7 on 2026-07-16, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 4.0025 vs opponent team 3.8193.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Jerry's most common partner signals so far: Pete Nikolakakis (1-1, 50%), Ken Vallance (0-2, 0%), Chris Donahue (1-0, 100%), Scott Konkel (1-0, 100%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Jerry has faced Ken Vallance 3 times - record: 1-2. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-09 2-2 4.0060 4.0015 -0.0045
2026-07-16 1-3 4.0015 3.9762 -0.0253

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-09 Loss 7-11 Ken Vallance Scott Konkel / Pete Nikolakakis 4.0060 -0.0140 3.9920
2 2026-07-09 Win 11-2 Pete Nikolakakis Scott Konkel / Fred Veenstra 3.9920 +0.0093 4.0013
3 2026-07-09 Win 11-10 Scott Konkel Ken Vallance / Fred Veenstra 4.0013 +0.0102 4.0115
4 2026-07-09 Loss 9-11 Fred Veenstra Ken Vallance / Pete Nikolakakis 4.0115 -0.0100 4.0015
5 2026-07-16 Loss 8-11 Jerry Visconti Ken Vallance / Chris Donahue 4.0015 -0.0146 3.9869
6 2026-07-16 Win 11-8 Chris Donahue William Danny Webster / Pete Nikolakakis 3.9869 +0.0125 3.9994
7 2026-07-16 Loss 7-11 Ken Vallance William Danny Webster / Chris Donahue 3.9994 -0.0148 3.9846
8 2026-07-16 Loss 7-11 Pete Nikolakakis William Danny Webster / Jerry Visconti 3.9846 -0.0084 3.9762

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 4.0053 3.8587 -0.1466 -0.0140
2 3.9072 3.8812 +0.0261 +0.0093
3 3.9078 3.9144 -0.0066 +0.0102
4 3.9071 3.9068 -0.0004 -0.0100
5 3.9935 3.8191 -0.1744 -0.0146
6 3.8254 3.9158 -0.0903 +0.0125
7 4.0025 3.8193 -0.1833 -0.0148
8 3.9175 3.9730 +0.0555 -0.0084

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.1466 -> computed delta -0.0140; 4.0060 -0.0140 = 3.9920