VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Ted Custer

Member ID: TVCPC-P0064   Generated: 2026-09-04 12:10 PM

4.8580 -> 4.8099
Net -0.0481   Record 6-8   Win Rate 43%   Games 14
Initial VIPR
4.8580
Registry seed
Current VIPR
4.8099
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0481
Current minus initial
Record
6-8
43% win rate · 14 rated games

Storyline

Ted Custer entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 4.8580. Across 14 rated doubles games, the player went 6-8 and moved -0.0481, finishing at 4.8099.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 6-8 record produced +0.0345 from wins and -0.0826 from losses, for a net move of -0.0481. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0168 against Rob Schultz as partner and Richard Chris Armstrong / Kreg S Hamm as opponents. In game #8 on 2026-08-20, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 4.6210 vs opponent team 4.3299.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Ted's most common partner signals so far: Gary Kray (2-2, 50%), Richard Chris Armstrong (2-1, 67%), Derek Wuebbels (1-1, 50%), Kreg S Hamm (0-2, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Ted has faced Gary Kray 5 times - record: 1-4. A tough matchup so far.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-08-06 0-2 4.8580 4.8375 -0.0205
2026-08-13 1-3 4.8375 4.8101 -0.0274
2026-08-20 2-2 4.8101 4.7981 -0.0120
2026-08-27 3-1 4.7981 4.8099 +0.0118

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-08-06 Loss 5-11 Gary Kray Wayne Bondy / Derek Wuebbels 4.8580 -0.0056 4.8524
2 2026-08-06 Loss 9-11 Derek Wuebbels Jim Bruton / Oliver Sun 4.8524 -0.0149 4.8375
3 2026-08-13 Loss 5-11 Gary Kray Richard Chris Armstrong / Michael Leardi 4.8375 -0.0101 4.8274
4 2026-08-13 Win 11-10 Derek Wuebbels Michael Leardi / Kreg S Hamm 4.8274 +0.0009 4.8283
5 2026-08-13 Loss 7-9 Kreg S Hamm Michael Leardi / Gary Kray 4.8283 -0.0045 4.8238
6 2026-08-13 Loss 3-11 Richard Chris Armstrong Derek Wuebbels / Gary Kray 4.8238 -0.0137 4.8101
7 2026-08-20 Win 11-4 Richard Chris Armstrong Kreg S Hamm / Gary Kray 4.8101 +0.0012 4.8113
8 2026-08-20 Loss 7-11 Rob Schultz Richard Chris Armstrong / Kreg S Hamm 4.8113 -0.0168 4.7945
9 2026-08-20 Loss 9-11 Kreg S Hamm Gary Kray / Rob Schultz 4.7945 -0.0052 4.7893
10 2026-08-20 Win 11-3 Gary Kray Richard Chris Armstrong / Rob Schultz 4.7893 +0.0088 4.7981
11 2026-08-27 Win 11-8 Wayne Bondy Richard Chris Armstrong / Michael Leardi 4.7981 +0.0060 4.8041
12 2026-08-27 Loss 5-11 Michael Leardi Phil Weiner / Gary Kray 4.8041 -0.0118 4.7923
13 2026-08-27 Win 11-5 Gary Kray Wayne Bondy / Phil Weiner 4.7923 +0.0120 4.8043
14 2026-08-27 Win 11-9 Richard Chris Armstrong Phil Weiner / Michael Leardi 4.8043 +0.0056 4.8099

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 4.6638 4.8263 +0.1625 -0.0056
2 4.8312 4.6471 -0.1841 -0.0149
3 4.6584 4.6543 -0.0041 -0.0101
4 4.8211 4.2847 +0.5364 +0.0009
5 4.3594 4.5730 +0.2136 -0.0045
6 4.7784 4.6423 -0.1362 -0.0137
7 4.7647 4.2796 +0.4851 +0.0012
8 4.6210 4.3299 -0.2910 -0.0168
9 4.3554 4.5380 +0.1826 -0.0052
10 4.6422 4.5991 +0.0431 +0.0088
11 4.8103 4.6640 +0.1463 +0.0060
12 4.6712 4.6070 -0.0641 -0.0118
13 4.6587 4.7296 -0.0708 +0.0120
14 4.7811 4.6159 +0.1652 +0.0056

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.1625 -> computed delta -0.0056; 4.8580 -0.0056 = 4.8524