VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Lauren Esterlein

Member ID: TVCPC-P0240   Generated: 2026-09-04 12:10 PM

2.4640 -> 2.4319
Net -0.0321   Record 7-9   Win Rate 44%   Games 16
Initial VIPR
2.4640
Registry seed
Current VIPR
2.4319
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0321
Current minus initial
Record
7-9
44% win rate · 16 rated games

Storyline

Lauren Esterlein entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 2.4640. Across 16 rated doubles games, the player went 7-9 and moved -0.0321, finishing at 2.4319.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 7-9 record produced +0.0584 from wins and -0.0905 from losses, for a net move of -0.0321. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0142 against Cindy Halcomb as partner and Missi Horton / Lynne Becker as opponents. In game #11 on 2026-08-27, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 2.4419 vs opponent team 2.2851.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Lauren's most common partner signals so far: Missi Horton (2-1, 67%), Cindy Halcomb (1-2, 33%), Janet Krasinski (1-2, 33%), Lynne Becker (1-2, 33%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Lauren has faced Cindy Halcomb 6 times - record: 2-4. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 2-2 2.4640 2.4579 -0.0061
2026-08-20 1-3 2.4579 2.4442 -0.0137
2026-08-27 1-3 2.4442 2.4202 -0.0240
2026-09-03 3-1 2.4202 2.4319 +0.0117

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02 Loss 9-11 Janet Krasinski Cindy Halcomb / Lynne Becker 2.4640 -0.0139 2.4501
2 2026-07-02 Loss 8-11 Lynne Becker Cindy Halcomb / Missi Horton 2.4501 -0.0078 2.4423
3 2026-07-02 Win 11-8 Cindy Halcomb Janet Krasinski / Missi Horton 2.4423 +0.0084 2.4507
4 2026-07-02 Win 11-8 Missi Horton Janet Krasinski / Lynne Becker 2.4507 +0.0072 2.4579
5 2026-08-20 Win 11-5 Jackie Huckins Deborah Austin / Missi Horton 2.4579 +0.0108 2.4687
6 2026-08-20 Loss 6-11 Wendy Bachman Deborah Austin / Jackie Huckins 2.4687 -0.0061 2.4626
7 2026-08-20 Loss 10-11 Missi Horton Wendy Bachman / Jackie Huckins 2.4626 -0.0061 2.4565
8 2026-08-20 Loss 5-11 Deborah Austin Wendy Bachman / Missi Horton 2.4565 -0.0123 2.4442
9 2026-08-27 Loss 0-11 Janet Krasinski Missi Horton / Cindy Halcomb 2.4442 -0.0091 2.4351
10 2026-08-27 Loss 6-11 Lynne Becker Cindy Halcomb / Janet Krasinski 2.4351 -0.0068 2.4283
11 2026-08-27 Loss 5-11 Cindy Halcomb Missi Horton / Lynne Becker 2.4283 -0.0142 2.4141
12 2026-08-27 Win 11-5 Missi Horton Janet Krasinski / Lynne Becker 2.4141 +0.0061 2.4202
13 2026-09-03 Loss 6-11 Cindy Halcomb Janet Krasinski / Lynne Becker 2.4202 -0.0142 2.4060
14 2026-09-03 Win 11-8 Lynne Becker Janet Krasinski / Christine Martin 2.4060 +0.0073 2.4133
15 2026-09-03 Win 11-8 Janet Krasinski Cindy Halcomb / Christine Martin 2.4133 +0.0056 2.4189
16 2026-09-03 Win 11-9 Christine Martin Cindy Halcomb / Lynne Becker 2.4189 +0.0130 2.4319

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 2.4346 2.2922 -0.1424 -0.0139
2 2.3107 2.3874 +0.0767 -0.0078
3 2.4424 2.3848 +0.0576 +0.0084
4 2.3873 2.2876 +0.0997 +0.0072
5 2.4980 2.5241 -0.0261 +0.0108
6 2.4986 2.6404 +0.1418 -0.0061
7 2.4332 2.5760 +0.1428 -0.0061
8 2.5402 2.4606 -0.0796 -0.0123
9 2.4047 2.4360 +0.0314 -0.0091
10 2.2896 2.4050 +0.1155 -0.0068
11 2.4419 2.2851 -0.1568 -0.0142
12 2.4249 2.2798 +0.1451 +0.0061
13 2.4358 2.2789 -0.1569 -0.0142
14 2.3007 2.2052 +0.0955 +0.0073
15 2.3853 2.2234 +0.1619 +0.0056
16 2.2189 2.3262 -0.1072 +0.0130

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.1424 -> computed delta -0.0139; 2.4640 -0.0139 = 2.4501