VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Marcie Stern

Member ID: TVCPC-P0346   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.3110 -> 3.1851
Net -0.1259   Record 7-17   Win Rate 29%   Games 24
Initial VIPR
3.3110
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.1851
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.1259
Current minus initial
Record
7-17
29% win rate · 24 rated games

Storyline

Marcie Stern entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.3110. Across 24 rated doubles games, the player went 7-17 and moved -0.1259, finishing at 3.1851.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 7-17 record produced +0.0522 from wins and -0.1781 from losses, for a net move of -0.1259. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0143 against Donna Siskind as partner and Judith Lee / Debbie Fischer as opponents. In game #8 on 2026-07-09, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.3274 vs opponent team 3.1670.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Marcie's most common partner signals so far: Debbie Fischer (1-3, 25%), Judy Arlington (1-2, 33%), Connie Nowell (1-1, 50%), Brenda Leardi (0-2, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Marcie has faced Debbie Fischer 9 times - record: 2-7. A tough matchup so far.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 0-4 3.3110 3.2714 -0.0396
2026-07-09 1-3 3.2714 3.2484 -0.0230
2026-07-16 3-1 3.2484 3.2585 +0.0101
2026-07-23 2-2 3.2585 3.2564 -0.0021
2026-08-06 1-3 3.2564 3.2294 -0.0270
2026-09-10 0-4 3.2294 3.1851 -0.0443

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 2-11 Amy Huckaby Carolyn Roan / Judy Arlington 3.3110 -0.0083 3.3027
2 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 2-11 Nickie Gader Carolyn Roan / Amy Huckaby 3.3027 -0.0112 3.2915
3 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 4-11 Judy Arlington Nickie Gader / Amy Huckaby 3.2915 -0.0099 3.2816
4 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 10-11 Carolyn Roan Nickie Gader / Judy Arlington 3.2816 -0.0102 3.2714
5 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 9-11 Deborah Ahart Donna Siskind / Debbie Fischer 3.2714 -0.0093 3.2621
6 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-5 Judith Lee Donna Siskind / Deborah Ahart 3.2621 +0.0102 3.2723
7 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 5-11 Debbie Fischer Judith Lee / Deborah Ahart 3.2723 -0.0096 3.2627
8 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 8-11 Donna Siskind Judith Lee / Debbie Fischer 3.2627 -0.0143 3.2484
9 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-10 Debbie Fischer Shawn Spaulding / Rose Hoffmann 3.2484 +0.0075 3.2559
10 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-3 Rose Hoffmann Shawn Spaulding / ANN DREWEK 3.2559 +0.0023 3.2582
11 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-3 Shawn Spaulding Debbie Fischer / ANN DREWEK 3.2582 +0.0040 3.2622
12 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 9-11 ANN DREWEK Debbie Fischer / Rose Hoffmann 3.2622 -0.0037 3.2585
13 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 1-11 Brenda Leardi Judy Arlington / Sally Naumann 3.2585 -0.0096 3.2489
14 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-6 Sally Naumann Judy Arlington / Brenda Leardi 3.2489 +0.0100 3.2589
15 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-8 Judy Arlington Sally Naumann / Brenda Leardi 3.2589 +0.0090 3.2679
16 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 5-11 Judy Arlington Sally Naumann / Brenda Leardi 3.2679 -0.0115 3.2564
17 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 5-11 Debbie Fischer Renae Kray / Connie Nowell 3.2564 -0.0139 3.2425
18 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-8 Connie Nowell Debbie Fischer / Renae Kray 3.2425 +0.0092 3.2517
19 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 5-11 Renae Kray Debbie Fischer / Connie Nowell 3.2517 -0.0108 3.2409
20 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Connie Nowell Debbie Fischer / Renae Kray 3.2409 -0.0115 3.2294
21 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 2-11 Brenda Leardi Lori Novack / Lori Pulford 3.2294 -0.0134 3.2160
22 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Debbie Fischer Lori Novack / Brenda Leardi 3.2160 -0.0092 3.2068
23 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Lori Pulford Debbie Fischer / Brenda Leardi 3.2068 -0.0087 3.1981
24 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Lori Novack Debbie Fischer / Lori Pulford 3.1981 -0.0130 3.1851

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.2655 3.3244 +0.0589 -0.0083
2 3.3364 3.2952 -0.0412 -0.0112
3 3.2914 3.2954 +0.0040 -0.0099
4 3.3293 3.3211 -0.0082 -0.0102
5 3.2037 3.2297 +0.0260 -0.0093
6 3.2546 3.2624 -0.0078 +0.0102
7 3.1741 3.1871 +0.0130 -0.0096
8 3.3274 3.1670 -0.1604 -0.0143
9 3.1702 3.0797 +0.0905 +0.0075
10 3.1854 2.8286 +0.3568 +0.0023
11 3.1015 2.8593 +0.2422 +0.0040
12 2.8887 3.1472 +0.2586 -0.0037
13 3.2456 3.2595 +0.0139 -0.0096
14 3.2508 3.2516 -0.0008 +0.0100
15 3.2686 3.2339 +0.0347 +0.0090
16 3.2776 3.2249 -0.0527 -0.0115
17 3.1828 3.0387 -0.1442 -0.0139
18 3.1082 3.0811 +0.0272 +0.0092
19 3.1089 3.0804 -0.0285 -0.0108
20 3.1218 3.0675 -0.0542 -0.0115
21 3.2196 3.0985 -0.1211 -0.0134
22 3.1699 3.1962 +0.0263 -0.0092
23 3.1158 3.1620 +0.0462 -0.0087
24 3.1995 3.0925 -0.1070 -0.0130

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.0589 -> computed delta -0.0083; 3.3110 -0.0083 = 3.3027