VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Carolyn Roan

Member ID: TVCPC-P0348   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.4150 -> 3.5360
Net +0.1210   Record 29-22   Win Rate 57%   Games 51
Initial VIPR
3.4150
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.5360
After latest rated game
Net Movement
+0.1210
Current minus initial
Record
29-22
57% win rate · 51 rated games

Storyline

Carolyn Roan entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.4150. Across 51 rated doubles games, the player went 29-22 and moved +0.1210, finishing at 3.5360.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 29-22 record produced +0.2986 from wins and -0.1776 from losses, for a net move of +0.1210. The biggest single-game impact was +0.0158 against Janet Artrip as partner and Tina Stephens / Kathy Gelb as opponents. In game #47 on 2026-10-22, the player's team was the lower-rated team, so the win carried a larger gain: player team 3.5677 vs opponent team 3.7978.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Carolyn's most common partner signals so far: Jolynne Colvin (2-2, 50%), Sharon McFarland (1-3, 25%), Judith Lee (3-0, 100%), Sally Musser (2-1, 67%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Carolyn has faced Sharon McFarland 9 times - record: 5-4. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 3-1 3.4150 3.4303 +0.0153
2026-07-09 2-2 3.4303 3.4350 +0.0047
2026-07-16 2-2 3.4350 3.4402 +0.0052
2026-07-23 2-2 3.4402 3.4365 -0.0037
2026-08-06 4-0 3.4365 3.4753 +0.0388
2026-08-13 3-1 3.4753 3.5007 +0.0254
2026-08-27 3-1 3.5007 3.5360 +0.0353
2026-09-03 3-1 3.5360 3.5546 +0.0186
2026-09-10 1-3 3.5546 3.5403 -0.0143
2026-09-17 2-1 3.5403 3.5483 +0.0080
2026-10-01 0-4 3.5483 3.5203 -0.0280
2026-10-22 2-2 3.5203 3.5270 +0.0067
2026-10-29 2-2 3.5270 3.5360 +0.0090

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-3 Nickie Gader Amy Huckaby / Judy Arlington 3.4150 +0.0060 3.4210
2 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Judy Arlington Amy Huckaby / Marcie Stern 3.4210 +0.0083 3.4293
3 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Amy Huckaby Nickie Gader / Marcie Stern 3.4293 +0.0112 3.4405
4 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 10-11 Marcie Stern Nickie Gader / Judy Arlington 3.4405 -0.0102 3.4303
5 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 5-11 Sharon McFarland Sally Musser / Christine Ressler 3.4303 -0.0079 3.4224
6 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-10 Jolynne Colvin Sally Musser / Sharon McFarland 3.4224 +0.0093 3.4317
7 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 10-11 Christine Ressler Jolynne Colvin / Sharon McFarland 3.4317 -0.0087 3.4230
8 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Sally Musser Jolynne Colvin / Christine Ressler 3.4230 +0.0120 3.4350
9 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 6-11 Sharon McFarland Jolynne Colvin / Nancy Pierce 3.4350 -0.0042 3.4308
10 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-8 Nancy Pierce Sharon McFarland / Stephanie Chen 3.4308 +0.0081 3.4389
11 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 4-11 Stephanie Chen Jolynne Colvin / Sharon McFarland 3.4389 -0.0089 3.4300
12 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-7 Jolynne Colvin Nancy Pierce / Stephanie Chen 3.4300 +0.0102 3.4402
13 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Christine Ressler Nickie Gader / Judith Lee 3.4402 -0.0128 3.4274
14 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-7 Amy Huckaby Christine Ressler / Nickie Gader 3.4274 +0.0135 3.4409
15 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 3-11 Nickie Gader Judith Lee / Amy Huckaby 3.4409 -0.0137 3.4272
16 2026-07-23
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-3 Judith Lee Christine Ressler / Amy Huckaby 3.4272 +0.0093 3.4365
17 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-7 Judith Lee Zeneida Toledo / Ann Moreland 3.4365 +0.0108 3.4473
18 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-0 Ann Moreland Judith Lee / Zeneida Toledo 3.4473 +0.0075 3.4548
19 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-3 Zeneida Toledo Judith Lee / Ann Moreland 3.4548 +0.0101 3.4649
20 2026-08-06
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-4 Judith Lee Zeneida Toledo / Ann Moreland 3.4649 +0.0104 3.4753
21 2026-08-13
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-8 Jeanan Delp Jolynne Colvin / Diane McCarthy 3.4753 +0.0128 3.4881
22 2026-08-13
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-6 Michele Blanchard Jolynne Colvin / Jeanan Delp 3.4881 +0.0107 3.4988
23 2026-08-13
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-10 Diane McCarthy Michele Blanchard / Jeanan Delp 3.4988 +0.0111 3.5099
24 2026-08-13
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 5-11 Jolynne Colvin Michele Blanchard / Diane McCarthy 3.5099 -0.0092 3.5007
25 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 2-11 Sandy Zutter Lucille Gambescia / Laura Marchisello 3.5007 -0.0016 3.4991
26 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-6 Laura Marchisello Lucille Gambescia / Sandy Zutter 3.4991 +0.0145 3.5136
27 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-6 Lucille Gambescia Laura Marchisello / Sandy Zutter 3.5136 +0.0087 3.5223
28 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Laura Marchisello Lucille Gambescia / Sandy Zutter 3.5223 +0.0137 3.5360
29 2026-09-03
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Sally Musser Gina M Park / Sharon McFarland 3.5360 -0.0114 3.5246
30 2026-09-03
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Gina M Park Sally Musser / Sharon McFarland 3.5246 +0.0103 3.5349
31 2026-09-03
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-6 Sharon McFarland Sally Musser / Gina M Park 3.5349 +0.0107 3.5456
32 2026-09-03
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-4 Sally Musser Gina M Park / Sharon McFarland 3.5456 +0.0090 3.5546
33 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 6-11 Jackie Mantegna Trixie Swanson / Maike DeMaria 3.5546 -0.0056 3.5490
34 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 10-11 Maike DeMaria Jackie Mantegna / Sharon McFarland 3.5490 -0.0110 3.5380
35 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 3-11 Sharon McFarland Trixie Swanson / Jackie Mantegna 3.5380 -0.0039 3.5341
36 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-0 Trixie Swanson Maike DeMaria / Sharon McFarland 3.5341 +0.0062 3.5403
37 2026-09-17
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 10-11 Jackie Mantegna Norine Lozon / Diane McCarthy 3.5403 -0.0142 3.5261
38 2026-09-17
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-7 Diane McCarthy Jackie Mantegna / Norine Lozon 3.5261 +0.0080 3.5341
39 2026-09-17
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Norine Lozon Jackie Mantegna / Diane McCarthy 3.5341 +0.0142 3.5483
40 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 10-11 Tina Stephens Diana Sellers / Kim Christopherson 3.5483 -0.0045 3.5438
41 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 6-11 Kim Christopherson Tina Stephens / Jolynne Colvin 3.5438 -0.0090 3.5348
42 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 3-11 Jolynne Colvin Diana Sellers / Tina Stephens 3.5348 -0.0038 3.5310
43 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 9-11 Diana Sellers Kim Christopherson / Jolynne Colvin 3.5310 -0.0107 3.5203
44 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 0-11 Cindy Hilderbrand Janet Artrip / Kathy Gelb 3.5203 -0.0026 3.5177
45 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 5-11 Tina Stephens Janet Artrip / Cindy Hilderbrand 3.5177 -0.0128 3.5049
46 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-5 Kathy Gelb Tina Stephens / Cindy Hilderbrand 3.5049 +0.0063 3.5112
47 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-7 Janet Artrip Tina Stephens / Kathy Gelb 3.5112 +0.0158 3.5270
48 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 3-11 Jackie Elliott Kathy Gelb / Lori Linklater 3.5270 -0.0058 3.5212
49 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-9 Lori Linklater Jackie Elliott / Natalie Abrams 3.5212 +0.0117 3.5329
50 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 10-11 Natalie Abrams Kathy Gelb / Jackie Elliott 3.5329 -0.0051 3.5278
51 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-7 Kathy Gelb Lori Linklater / Natalie Abrams 3.5278 +0.0082 3.5360

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.4108 3.2631 +0.1477 +0.0060
2 3.3244 3.2655 +0.0589 +0.0083
3 3.2952 3.3364 -0.0412 +0.0112
4 3.3293 3.3211 -0.0082 -0.0102
5 3.4304 3.5028 +0.0724 -0.0079
6 3.4946 3.4693 +0.0253 +0.0093
7 3.4467 3.4911 +0.0444 -0.0087
8 3.4667 3.5355 -0.0688 +0.0120
9 3.4260 3.6578 +0.2319 -0.0042
10 3.4987 3.4314 +0.0673 +0.0081
11 3.4464 3.4852 +0.0388 -0.0089
12 3.5084 3.5154 -0.0070 +0.0102
13 3.4465 3.3453 -0.1012 -0.0128
14 3.3176 3.4455 -0.1280 +0.0135
15 3.4311 3.2972 -0.1339 -0.0137
16 3.3674 3.3416 +0.0258 +0.0093
17 3.3767 3.4055 -0.0288 +0.0108
18 3.4529 3.3626 +0.0903 +0.0075
19 3.3861 3.3901 -0.0040 +0.0101
20 3.3805 3.3958 -0.0153 +0.0104
21 3.4844 3.5848 -0.1004 +0.0128
22 3.5324 3.5580 -0.0255 +0.0107
23 3.5107 3.5493 -0.0386 +0.0111
24 3.5489 3.5752 +0.0263 -0.0092
25 3.5298 3.9590 +0.4291 -0.0016
26 3.6072 3.7763 -0.1691 +0.0145
27 3.7142 3.6694 +0.0448 +0.0087
28 3.6252 3.7583 -0.1332 +0.0137
29 3.5492 3.4999 -0.0493 -0.0114
30 3.5172 3.5278 -0.0106 +0.0103
31 3.5104 3.5345 -0.0241 +0.0107
32 3.5462 3.5115 +0.0347 +0.0090
33 3.5787 3.7419 +0.1632 -0.0056
34 3.5741 3.5399 -0.0341 -0.0110
35 3.5125 3.7574 +0.2448 -0.0039
36 3.6764 3.5382 +0.1383 +0.0062
37 3.5748 3.4199 -0.1549 -0.0142
38 3.5334 3.4613 +0.0721 +0.0080
39 3.4236 3.5808 -0.1572 +0.0142
40 3.5995 3.8151 +0.2156 -0.0045
41 3.6043 3.6383 +0.0340 -0.0090
42 3.5558 3.8082 +0.2524 -0.0038
43 3.6676 3.6446 -0.0230 -0.0107
44 3.4369 3.7665 +0.3296 -0.0026
45 3.5856 3.4849 -0.1007 -0.0128
46 3.6419 3.5073 +0.1346 +0.0063
47 3.5677 3.7978 -0.2301 +0.0158
48 3.5630 3.7175 +0.1545 -0.0058
49 3.5517 3.6096 -0.0579 +0.0117
50 3.5448 3.7328 +0.1880 -0.0051
51 3.6548 3.5910 +0.0638 +0.0082

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.1477 -> computed delta +0.0060; 3.4150 +0.0060 = 3.4210