Storyline
Carolyn Roan entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.4150. Across 51 rated doubles games, the player went 29-22 and moved +0.1210, finishing at 3.5360.
Why It Moved
AI-generated explanation: The 29-22 record produced +0.2986 from wins and -0.1776 from losses, for a net move of +0.1210. The biggest single-game impact was +0.0158 against Janet Artrip as partner and Tina Stephens / Kathy Gelb as opponents. In game #47 on 2026-10-22, the player's team was the lower-rated team, so the win carried a larger gain: player team 3.5677 vs opponent team 3.7978.
Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.
Carolyn's most common partner signals so far: Jolynne Colvin (2-2, 50%), Sharon McFarland (1-3, 25%), Judith Lee (3-0, 100%), Sally Musser (2-1, 67%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.
Carolyn has faced Sharon McFarland 9 times - record: 5-4. A close matchup worth watching.
Session Summary
| Date | W-L | Start | End | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | 3-1 | 3.4150 | 3.4303 | +0.0153 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2-2 | 3.4303 | 3.4350 | +0.0047 |
| 2026-07-16 | 2-2 | 3.4350 | 3.4402 | +0.0052 |
| 2026-07-23 | 2-2 | 3.4402 | 3.4365 | -0.0037 |
| 2026-08-06 | 4-0 | 3.4365 | 3.4753 | +0.0388 |
| 2026-08-13 | 3-1 | 3.4753 | 3.5007 | +0.0254 |
| 2026-08-27 | 3-1 | 3.5007 | 3.5360 | +0.0353 |
| 2026-09-03 | 3-1 | 3.5360 | 3.5546 | +0.0186 |
| 2026-09-10 | 1-3 | 3.5546 | 3.5403 | -0.0143 |
| 2026-09-17 | 2-1 | 3.5403 | 3.5483 | +0.0080 |
| 2026-10-01 | 0-4 | 3.5483 | 3.5203 | -0.0280 |
| 2026-10-22 | 2-2 | 3.5203 | 3.5270 | +0.0067 |
| 2026-10-29 | 2-2 | 3.5270 | 3.5360 | +0.0090 |
Game-By-Game Rating Trail
| # | Date | Result | Score | Partner | Opponents | Before | Change | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-07-02 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-3 | Nickie Gader | Amy Huckaby / Judy Arlington | 3.4150 | +0.0060 | 3.4210 |
| 2 | 2026-07-02 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-2 | Judy Arlington | Amy Huckaby / Marcie Stern | 3.4210 | +0.0083 | 3.4293 |
| 3 | 2026-07-02 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-2 | Amy Huckaby | Nickie Gader / Marcie Stern | 3.4293 | +0.0112 | 3.4405 |
| 4 | 2026-07-02 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 10-11 | Marcie Stern | Nickie Gader / Judy Arlington | 3.4405 | -0.0102 | 3.4303 |
| 5 | 2026-07-09 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 5-11 | Sharon McFarland | Sally Musser / Christine Ressler | 3.4303 | -0.0079 | 3.4224 |
| 6 | 2026-07-09 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-10 | Jolynne Colvin | Sally Musser / Sharon McFarland | 3.4224 | +0.0093 | 3.4317 |
| 7 | 2026-07-09 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 10-11 | Christine Ressler | Jolynne Colvin / Sharon McFarland | 3.4317 | -0.0087 | 3.4230 |
| 8 | 2026-07-09 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-2 | Sally Musser | Jolynne Colvin / Christine Ressler | 3.4230 | +0.0120 | 3.4350 |
| 9 | 2026-07-16 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 6-11 | Sharon McFarland | Jolynne Colvin / Nancy Pierce | 3.4350 | -0.0042 | 3.4308 |
| 10 | 2026-07-16 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-8 | Nancy Pierce | Sharon McFarland / Stephanie Chen | 3.4308 | +0.0081 | 3.4389 |
| 11 | 2026-07-16 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 4-11 | Stephanie Chen | Jolynne Colvin / Sharon McFarland | 3.4389 | -0.0089 | 3.4300 |
| 12 | 2026-07-16 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-7 | Jolynne Colvin | Nancy Pierce / Stephanie Chen | 3.4300 | +0.0102 | 3.4402 |
| 13 | 2026-07-23 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 7-11 | Christine Ressler | Nickie Gader / Judith Lee | 3.4402 | -0.0128 | 3.4274 |
| 14 | 2026-07-23 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-7 | Amy Huckaby | Christine Ressler / Nickie Gader | 3.4274 | +0.0135 | 3.4409 |
| 15 | 2026-07-23 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 3-11 | Nickie Gader | Judith Lee / Amy Huckaby | 3.4409 | -0.0137 | 3.4272 |
| 16 | 2026-07-23 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-3 | Judith Lee | Christine Ressler / Amy Huckaby | 3.4272 | +0.0093 | 3.4365 |
| 17 | 2026-08-06 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-7 | Judith Lee | Zeneida Toledo / Ann Moreland | 3.4365 | +0.0108 | 3.4473 |
| 18 | 2026-08-06 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-0 | Ann Moreland | Judith Lee / Zeneida Toledo | 3.4473 | +0.0075 | 3.4548 |
| 19 | 2026-08-06 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-3 | Zeneida Toledo | Judith Lee / Ann Moreland | 3.4548 | +0.0101 | 3.4649 |
| 20 | 2026-08-06 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-4 | Judith Lee | Zeneida Toledo / Ann Moreland | 3.4649 | +0.0104 | 3.4753 |
| 21 | 2026-08-13 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-8 | Jeanan Delp | Jolynne Colvin / Diane McCarthy | 3.4753 | +0.0128 | 3.4881 |
| 22 | 2026-08-13 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-6 | Michele Blanchard | Jolynne Colvin / Jeanan Delp | 3.4881 | +0.0107 | 3.4988 |
| 23 | 2026-08-13 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-10 | Diane McCarthy | Michele Blanchard / Jeanan Delp | 3.4988 | +0.0111 | 3.5099 |
| 24 | 2026-08-13 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 5-11 | Jolynne Colvin | Michele Blanchard / Diane McCarthy | 3.5099 | -0.0092 | 3.5007 |
| 25 | 2026-08-27 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 2-11 | Sandy Zutter | Lucille Gambescia / Laura Marchisello | 3.5007 | -0.0016 | 3.4991 |
| 26 | 2026-08-27 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-6 | Laura Marchisello | Lucille Gambescia / Sandy Zutter | 3.4991 | +0.0145 | 3.5136 |
| 27 | 2026-08-27 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-6 | Lucille Gambescia | Laura Marchisello / Sandy Zutter | 3.5136 | +0.0087 | 3.5223 |
| 28 | 2026-08-27 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-2 | Laura Marchisello | Lucille Gambescia / Sandy Zutter | 3.5223 | +0.0137 | 3.5360 |
| 29 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 7-11 | Sally Musser | Gina M Park / Sharon McFarland | 3.5360 | -0.0114 | 3.5246 |
| 30 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-2 | Gina M Park | Sally Musser / Sharon McFarland | 3.5246 | +0.0103 | 3.5349 |
| 31 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-6 | Sharon McFarland | Sally Musser / Gina M Park | 3.5349 | +0.0107 | 3.5456 |
| 32 | 2026-09-03 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-4 | Sally Musser | Gina M Park / Sharon McFarland | 3.5456 | +0.0090 | 3.5546 |
| 33 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 6-11 | Jackie Mantegna | Trixie Swanson / Maike DeMaria | 3.5546 | -0.0056 | 3.5490 |
| 34 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 10-11 | Maike DeMaria | Jackie Mantegna / Sharon McFarland | 3.5490 | -0.0110 | 3.5380 |
| 35 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Loss | 3-11 | Sharon McFarland | Trixie Swanson / Jackie Mantegna | 3.5380 | -0.0039 | 3.5341 |
| 36 | 2026-09-10 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026 |
Win | 11-0 | Trixie Swanson | Maike DeMaria / Sharon McFarland | 3.5341 | +0.0062 | 3.5403 |
| 37 | 2026-09-17 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Loss | 10-11 | Jackie Mantegna | Norine Lozon / Diane McCarthy | 3.5403 | -0.0142 | 3.5261 |
| 38 | 2026-09-17 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Win | 11-7 | Diane McCarthy | Jackie Mantegna / Norine Lozon | 3.5261 | +0.0080 | 3.5341 |
| 39 | 2026-09-17 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026 |
Win | 11-5 | Norine Lozon | Jackie Mantegna / Diane McCarthy | 3.5341 | +0.0142 | 3.5483 |
| 40 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 10-11 | Tina Stephens | Diana Sellers / Kim Christopherson | 3.5483 | -0.0045 | 3.5438 |
| 41 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 6-11 | Kim Christopherson | Tina Stephens / Jolynne Colvin | 3.5438 | -0.0090 | 3.5348 |
| 42 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 3-11 | Jolynne Colvin | Diana Sellers / Tina Stephens | 3.5348 | -0.0038 | 3.5310 |
| 43 | 2026-10-01 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 9-11 | Diana Sellers | Kim Christopherson / Jolynne Colvin | 3.5310 | -0.0107 | 3.5203 |
| 44 | 2026-10-22 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 0-11 | Cindy Hilderbrand | Janet Artrip / Kathy Gelb | 3.5203 | -0.0026 | 3.5177 |
| 45 | 2026-10-22 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 5-11 | Tina Stephens | Janet Artrip / Cindy Hilderbrand | 3.5177 | -0.0128 | 3.5049 |
| 46 | 2026-10-22 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Win | 11-5 | Kathy Gelb | Tina Stephens / Cindy Hilderbrand | 3.5049 | +0.0063 | 3.5112 |
| 47 | 2026-10-22 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Win | 11-7 | Janet Artrip | Tina Stephens / Kathy Gelb | 3.5112 | +0.0158 | 3.5270 |
| 48 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 3-11 | Jackie Elliott | Kathy Gelb / Lori Linklater | 3.5270 | -0.0058 | 3.5212 |
| 49 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Win | 11-9 | Lori Linklater | Jackie Elliott / Natalie Abrams | 3.5212 | +0.0117 | 3.5329 |
| 50 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Loss | 10-11 | Natalie Abrams | Kathy Gelb / Jackie Elliott | 3.5329 | -0.0051 | 3.5278 |
| 51 | 2026-10-29 Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026 |
Win | 11-7 | Kathy Gelb | Lori Linklater / Natalie Abrams | 3.5278 | +0.0082 | 3.5360 |
Formula Homework
These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.
| # | Player Team ( AVG ) | Opponent Team ( AVG ) | Winner-Loser VIPR Diff | Computed Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.4108 | 3.2631 | +0.1477 | +0.0060 |
| 2 | 3.3244 | 3.2655 | +0.0589 | +0.0083 |
| 3 | 3.2952 | 3.3364 | -0.0412 | +0.0112 |
| 4 | 3.3293 | 3.3211 | -0.0082 | -0.0102 |
| 5 | 3.4304 | 3.5028 | +0.0724 | -0.0079 |
| 6 | 3.4946 | 3.4693 | +0.0253 | +0.0093 |
| 7 | 3.4467 | 3.4911 | +0.0444 | -0.0087 |
| 8 | 3.4667 | 3.5355 | -0.0688 | +0.0120 |
| 9 | 3.4260 | 3.6578 | +0.2319 | -0.0042 |
| 10 | 3.4987 | 3.4314 | +0.0673 | +0.0081 |
| 11 | 3.4464 | 3.4852 | +0.0388 | -0.0089 |
| 12 | 3.5084 | 3.5154 | -0.0070 | +0.0102 |
| 13 | 3.4465 | 3.3453 | -0.1012 | -0.0128 |
| 14 | 3.3176 | 3.4455 | -0.1280 | +0.0135 |
| 15 | 3.4311 | 3.2972 | -0.1339 | -0.0137 |
| 16 | 3.3674 | 3.3416 | +0.0258 | +0.0093 |
| 17 | 3.3767 | 3.4055 | -0.0288 | +0.0108 |
| 18 | 3.4529 | 3.3626 | +0.0903 | +0.0075 |
| 19 | 3.3861 | 3.3901 | -0.0040 | +0.0101 |
| 20 | 3.3805 | 3.3958 | -0.0153 | +0.0104 |
| 21 | 3.4844 | 3.5848 | -0.1004 | +0.0128 |
| 22 | 3.5324 | 3.5580 | -0.0255 | +0.0107 |
| 23 | 3.5107 | 3.5493 | -0.0386 | +0.0111 |
| 24 | 3.5489 | 3.5752 | +0.0263 | -0.0092 |
| 25 | 3.5298 | 3.9590 | +0.4291 | -0.0016 |
| 26 | 3.6072 | 3.7763 | -0.1691 | +0.0145 |
| 27 | 3.7142 | 3.6694 | +0.0448 | +0.0087 |
| 28 | 3.6252 | 3.7583 | -0.1332 | +0.0137 |
| 29 | 3.5492 | 3.4999 | -0.0493 | -0.0114 |
| 30 | 3.5172 | 3.5278 | -0.0106 | +0.0103 |
| 31 | 3.5104 | 3.5345 | -0.0241 | +0.0107 |
| 32 | 3.5462 | 3.5115 | +0.0347 | +0.0090 |
| 33 | 3.5787 | 3.7419 | +0.1632 | -0.0056 |
| 34 | 3.5741 | 3.5399 | -0.0341 | -0.0110 |
| 35 | 3.5125 | 3.7574 | +0.2448 | -0.0039 |
| 36 | 3.6764 | 3.5382 | +0.1383 | +0.0062 |
| 37 | 3.5748 | 3.4199 | -0.1549 | -0.0142 |
| 38 | 3.5334 | 3.4613 | +0.0721 | +0.0080 |
| 39 | 3.4236 | 3.5808 | -0.1572 | +0.0142 |
| 40 | 3.5995 | 3.8151 | +0.2156 | -0.0045 |
| 41 | 3.6043 | 3.6383 | +0.0340 | -0.0090 |
| 42 | 3.5558 | 3.8082 | +0.2524 | -0.0038 |
| 43 | 3.6676 | 3.6446 | -0.0230 | -0.0107 |
| 44 | 3.4369 | 3.7665 | +0.3296 | -0.0026 |
| 45 | 3.5856 | 3.4849 | -0.1007 | -0.0128 |
| 46 | 3.6419 | 3.5073 | +0.1346 | +0.0063 |
| 47 | 3.5677 | 3.7978 | -0.2301 | +0.0158 |
| 48 | 3.5630 | 3.7175 | +0.1545 | -0.0058 |
| 49 | 3.5517 | 3.6096 | -0.0579 | +0.0117 |
| 50 | 3.5448 | 3.7328 | +0.1880 | -0.0051 |
| 51 | 3.6548 | 3.5910 | +0.0638 | +0.0082 |
Rating movement formula
Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.
Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).
Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.
Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.
First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.1477 -> computed delta +0.0060; 3.4150 +0.0060 = 3.4210