VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Carolyn Roan

Member ID: TVCPC-P0348   Generated: 2026-07-23 05:16 PM

3.4150 -> 3.4365
Net +0.0215   Record 9-7   Win Rate 56%   Games 16
Initial VIPR
3.4150
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.4365
After latest rated game
Net Movement
+0.0215
Current minus initial
Record
9-7
56% win rate · 16 rated games

Storyline

Carolyn Roan entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.4150. Across 16 rated doubles games, the player went 9-7 and moved +0.0215, finishing at 3.4365.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 9-7 record produced +0.0879 from wins and -0.0664 from losses, for a net move of +0.0215. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0137 against Nickie Gader as partner and Judith Lee / Amy Huckaby as opponents. In game #15 on 2026-07-23, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.4311 vs opponent team 3.2972.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Carolyn's most common partner signals so far: Amy Huckaby (2-0, 100%), Jolynne Colvin (2-0, 100%), Nickie Gader (1-1, 50%), Christine Ressler (0-2, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Carolyn has faced Amy Huckaby 4 times - record: 3-1. Clear ownership of the matchup.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 3-1 3.4150 3.4303 +0.0153
2026-07-09 2-2 3.4303 3.4350 +0.0047
2026-07-16 2-2 3.4350 3.4402 +0.0052
2026-07-23 2-2 3.4402 3.4365 -0.0037

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02 Win 11-3 Nickie Gader Amy Huckaby / Judy Arlington 3.4150 +0.0060 3.4210
2 2026-07-02 Win 11-2 Judy Arlington Amy Huckaby / Marcie Stern 3.4210 +0.0083 3.4293
3 2026-07-02 Win 11-2 Amy Huckaby Nickie Gader / Marcie Stern 3.4293 +0.0112 3.4405
4 2026-07-02 Loss 10-11 Marcie Stern Nickie Gader / Judy Arlington 3.4405 -0.0102 3.4303
5 2026-07-09 Loss 5-11 Sharon McFarland Sally Musser / Christine Ressler 3.4303 -0.0079 3.4224
6 2026-07-09 Win 11-10 Jolynne Colvin Sally Musser / Sharon McFarland 3.4224 +0.0093 3.4317
7 2026-07-09 Loss 10-11 Christine Ressler Jolynne Colvin / Sharon McFarland 3.4317 -0.0087 3.4230
8 2026-07-09 Win 11-2 Sally Musser Jolynne Colvin / Christine Ressler 3.4230 +0.0120 3.4350
9 2026-07-16 Loss 6-11 Sharon McFarland Jolynne Colvin / Nancy Pierce 3.4350 -0.0042 3.4308
10 2026-07-16 Win 11-8 Nancy Pierce Sharon McFarland / Stephanie Chen 3.4308 +0.0081 3.4389
11 2026-07-16 Loss 4-11 Stephanie Chen Jolynne Colvin / Sharon McFarland 3.4389 -0.0089 3.4300
12 2026-07-16 Win 11-7 Jolynne Colvin Nancy Pierce / Stephanie Chen 3.4300 +0.0102 3.4402
13 2026-07-23 Loss 7-11 Christine Ressler Nickie Gader / Judith Lee 3.4402 -0.0128 3.4274
14 2026-07-23 Win 11-7 Amy Huckaby Christine Ressler / Nickie Gader 3.4274 +0.0135 3.4409
15 2026-07-23 Loss 3-11 Nickie Gader Judith Lee / Amy Huckaby 3.4409 -0.0137 3.4272
16 2026-07-23 Win 11-3 Judith Lee Christine Ressler / Amy Huckaby 3.4272 +0.0093 3.4365

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.4108 3.2631 +0.1477 +0.0060
2 3.3244 3.2655 +0.0589 +0.0083
3 3.2952 3.3364 -0.0412 +0.0112
4 3.3293 3.3211 -0.0082 -0.0102
5 3.4304 3.5028 +0.0724 -0.0079
6 3.4946 3.4693 +0.0253 +0.0093
7 3.4467 3.4911 +0.0444 -0.0087
8 3.4667 3.5355 -0.0688 +0.0120
9 3.4260 3.6578 +0.2319 -0.0042
10 3.4987 3.4314 +0.0673 +0.0081
11 3.4464 3.4852 +0.0388 -0.0089
12 3.5084 3.5154 -0.0070 +0.0102
13 3.4465 3.3453 -0.1012 -0.0128
14 3.3176 3.4455 -0.1280 +0.0135
15 3.4311 3.2972 -0.1339 -0.0137
16 3.3674 3.3416 +0.0258 +0.0093

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.1477 -> computed delta +0.0060; 3.4150 +0.0060 = 3.4210