VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Karen Kellam

Member ID: TVCPC-P0378   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.5000 -> 3.4778
Net -0.0222   Record 9-7   Win Rate 56%   Games 16
Initial VIPR
3.5000
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.4778
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0222
Current minus initial
Record
9-7
56% win rate · 16 rated games

Storyline

Karen Kellam entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.5000. Across 16 rated doubles games, the player went 9-7 and moved -0.0222, finishing at 3.4778.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The record was positive, but the rating dipped because the 9 wins added +0.0586 while the 7 loss(es) gave back -0.0808. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0181 against Christine Ressler as partner and Renae Kray / Rosa Kopja as opponents. In game #16 on 2026-10-29, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.4543 vs opponent team 3.0583.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Karen's most common partner signals so far: Debbie Fischer (2-1, 67%), Barbara J Kennedy (2-0, 100%), Rosa Kopja (2-0, 100%), Karen Mercer (1-1, 50%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Karen has faced Debbie Fischer 6 times - record: 5-1. Clear ownership of the matchup.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-10-01 0-4 3.5000 3.4589 -0.0411
2026-10-15 4-0 3.4589 3.4831 +0.0242
2026-10-22 3-1 3.4831 3.4891 +0.0060
2026-10-29 2-2 3.4891 3.4778 -0.0113

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Sandy Zutter Diane McCarthy / Sharon McFarland 3.5000 -0.0096 3.4904
2 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 1-11 Judy Arlington Sharon McFarland / Sandy Zutter 3.4904 -0.0066 3.4838
3 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 6-11 Sharon McFarland Diane McCarthy / Judy Arlington 3.4838 -0.0123 3.4715
4 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Diane McCarthy Sandy Zutter / Judy Arlington 3.4715 -0.0126 3.4589
5 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-8 Jamie Marshall Debbie Fischer / Karen Mercer 3.4589 +0.0071 3.4660
6 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-8 Barbara J Kennedy Debbie Fischer / Jamie Marshall 3.4660 +0.0040 3.4700
7 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-6 Karen Mercer Barbara J Kennedy / Jamie Marshall 3.4700 +0.0086 3.4786
8 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-9 Debbie Fischer Barbara J Kennedy / Karen Mercer 3.4786 +0.0045 3.4831
9 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 2-11 Karen Mercer Barbara J Kennedy / Debbie Fischer 3.4831 -0.0083 3.4748
10 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-5 Rosa Kopja Debbie Fischer / Karen Mercer 3.4748 +0.0064 3.4812
11 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-4 Debbie Fischer Barbara J Kennedy / Rosa Kopja 3.4812 +0.0052 3.4864
12 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-7 Barbara J Kennedy Karen Mercer / Rosa Kopja 3.4864 +0.0027 3.4891
13 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-5 Renae Kray Christine Ressler / Debbie Fischer 3.4891 +0.0116 3.5007
14 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-9 Rosa Kopja Debbie Fischer / Renae Kray 3.5007 +0.0085 3.5092
15 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Debbie Fischer Christine Ressler / Rosa Kopja 3.5092 -0.0133 3.4959
16 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 5-11 Christine Ressler Renae Kray / Rosa Kopja 3.4959 -0.0181 3.4778

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.5116 3.5247 +0.0131 -0.0096
2 3.3963 3.5212 +0.1249 -0.0066
3 3.4960 3.4163 -0.0797 -0.0123
4 3.5055 3.4138 -0.0917 -0.0126
5 3.1343 3.0317 +0.1026 +0.0071
6 3.2916 3.0522 +0.2394 +0.0040
7 3.1150 3.0650 +0.0500 +0.0086
8 3.2588 3.0437 +0.2151 +0.0045
9 3.1218 3.1807 +0.0588 -0.0083
10 3.1551 3.0243 +0.1308 +0.0064
11 3.2641 3.0820 +0.1821 +0.0052
12 3.2935 2.9724 +0.3211 +0.0027
13 3.2033 3.2600 -0.0568 +0.0116
14 3.1681 3.1168 +0.0514 +0.0085
15 3.2683 3.1508 -0.1175 -0.0133
16 3.4543 3.0583 -0.3959 -0.0181

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.0131 -> computed delta -0.0096; 3.5000 -0.0096 = 3.4904