VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Kelly Armagost

Member ID: TVCPC-P0395   Generated: 2026-07-23 05:16 PM

3.9320 -> 3.9022
Net -0.0298   Record 1-3   Win Rate 25%   Games 4
Initial VIPR
3.9320
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.9022
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0298
Current minus initial
Record
1-3
25% win rate · 4 rated games

Storyline

Kelly Armagost entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.9320. Across 4 rated doubles games, the player went 1-3 and moved -0.0298, finishing at 3.9022.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 1-3 record produced +0.0038 from wins and -0.0336 from losses, for a net move of -0.0298. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0135 against Sue Reich as partner and Janna Armstrong / Stacey Cellini as opponents. In game #3 on 2026-07-16, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.8925 vs opponent team 3.7667.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Kelly's most common partner signals so far: Janna Armstrong (1-0, 100%), Michele Blanchard (0-1, 0%), Stacey Cellini (0-1, 0%), Sue Reich (0-1, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Streak

Kelly is currently on a 3-game losing streak in rated VIPR games.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-16 1-3 3.9320 3.9022 -0.0298

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-16 Win 11-8 Janna Armstrong Sue Reich / Michele Blanchard 3.9320 +0.0038 3.9358
2 2026-07-16 Loss 1-11 Michele Blanchard Sue Reich / Stacey Cellini 3.9358 -0.0105 3.9253
3 2026-07-16 Loss 10-11 Sue Reich Janna Armstrong / Stacey Cellini 3.9253 -0.0135 3.9118
4 2026-07-16 Loss 6-11 Stacey Cellini Janna Armstrong / Michele Blanchard 3.9118 -0.0096 3.9022

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.9605 3.7111 +0.2494 +0.0038
2 3.7276 3.7105 -0.0171 -0.0105
3 3.8925 3.7667 -0.1259 -0.0135
4 3.7381 3.7515 +0.0133 -0.0096

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.2494 -> computed delta +0.0038; 3.9320 +0.0038 = 3.9358