VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Kelly Armagost

Member ID: TVCPC-P0395   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.9320 -> 3.9172
Net -0.0148   Record 4-4   Win Rate 50%   Games 8
Initial VIPR
3.9320
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.9172
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0148
Current minus initial
Record
4-4
50% win rate · 8 rated games

Storyline

Kelly Armagost entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.9320. Across 8 rated doubles games, the player went 4-4 and moved -0.0148, finishing at 3.9172.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 4-4 record produced +0.0265 from wins and -0.0413 from losses, for a net move of -0.0148. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0135 against Sue Reich as partner and Janna Armstrong / Stacey Cellini as opponents. In game #3 on 2026-07-16, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.8925 vs opponent team 3.7667.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Kelly's most common partner signals so far: Sue Reich (1-1, 50%), Diana Sellers (1-0, 100%), Janna Armstrong (1-0, 100%), Kim Christopherson (1-0, 100%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Kelly has faced Sue Reich 4 times - record: 2-2. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-16 1-3 3.9320 3.9022 -0.0298
2026-10-29 3-1 3.9022 3.9172 +0.0150

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-8 Janna Armstrong Sue Reich / Michele Blanchard 3.9320 +0.0038 3.9358
2 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 1-11 Michele Blanchard Sue Reich / Stacey Cellini 3.9358 -0.0105 3.9253
3 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 10-11 Sue Reich Janna Armstrong / Stacey Cellini 3.9253 -0.0135 3.9118
4 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 6-11 Stacey Cellini Janna Armstrong / Michele Blanchard 3.9118 -0.0096 3.9022
5 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-8 Kim Christopherson Diana Sellers / Sue Reich 3.9022 +0.0126 3.9148
6 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Eveline Norman Sue Reich / Kim Christopherson 3.9148 -0.0077 3.9071
7 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-8 Sue Reich Diana Sellers / Eveline Norman 3.9071 +0.0059 3.9130
8 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-3 Diana Sellers Kim Christopherson / Eveline Norman 3.9130 +0.0042 3.9172

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.9605 3.7111 +0.2494 +0.0038
2 3.7276 3.7105 -0.0171 -0.0105
3 3.8925 3.7667 -0.1259 -0.0135
4 3.7381 3.7515 +0.0133 -0.0096
5 3.8134 3.9070 -0.0936 +0.0126
6 3.7336 3.8135 +0.0799 -0.0077
7 3.8887 3.7371 +0.1516 +0.0059
8 3.9206 3.6884 +0.2322 +0.0042

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.2494 -> computed delta +0.0038; 3.9320 +0.0038 = 3.9358