VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Dan Civitarese

Member ID: TVCPC-P0466   Generated: 2026-07-23 05:16 PM

4.6330 -> 4.5526
Net -0.0804   Record 2-6   Win Rate 25%   Games 8
Initial VIPR
4.6330
Registry seed
Current VIPR
4.5526
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0804
Current minus initial
Record
2-6
25% win rate · 8 rated games

Storyline

Dan Civitarese entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 4.6330. Across 8 rated doubles games, the player went 2-6 and moved -0.0804, finishing at 4.5526.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 2-6 record produced +0.0084 from wins and -0.0888 from losses, for a net move of -0.0804. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0165 against Martin Brady as partner and Pete Nikolakakis / Scott Konkel as opponents. In game #8 on 2026-07-23, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 4.1520 vs opponent team 3.8837.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Dan's most common partner signals so far: Ken Vallance (1-0, 100%), Timothy DeMaria (1-0, 100%), Martin Brady (0-1, 0%), Patrick Lee (0-1, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Streak

Dan is currently on a 1-game losing streak in rated VIPR games.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 1-3 4.6330 4.5942 -0.0388
2026-07-23 1-3 4.5942 4.5526 -0.0416

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02 Loss 9-11 William Danny Webster Patrick Wilson / Patrick Lee 4.6330 -0.0134 4.6196
2 2026-07-02 Win 11-9 Timothy DeMaria Patrick Lee / William Danny Webster 4.6196 +0.0049 4.6245
3 2026-07-02 Loss 10-11 Patrick Lee Patrick Wilson / Timothy DeMaria 4.6245 -0.0147 4.6098
4 2026-07-02 Loss 2-11 Patrick Wilson William Danny Webster / Timothy DeMaria 4.6098 -0.0156 4.5942
5 2026-07-23 Loss 1-11 Pete Nikolakakis Martin Brady / Ken Vallance 4.5942 -0.0134 4.5808
6 2026-07-23 Loss 3-11 Scott Konkel Ken Vallance / Pete Nikolakakis 4.5808 -0.0152 4.5656
7 2026-07-23 Win 11-10 Ken Vallance Martin Brady / Scott Konkel 4.5656 +0.0035 4.5691
8 2026-07-23 Loss 8-11 Martin Brady Pete Nikolakakis / Scott Konkel 4.5691 -0.0165 4.5526

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 4.2109 4.0860 -0.1249 -0.0134
2 4.2419 4.0456 +0.1962 +0.0049
3 4.2633 4.0875 -0.1758 -0.0147
4 4.2586 4.0381 -0.2205 -0.0156
5 4.0945 3.9728 -0.1217 -0.0134
6 4.1086 3.9093 -0.1992 -0.0152
7 4.1862 3.9167 +0.2695 +0.0035
8 4.1520 3.8837 -0.2682 -0.0165

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.1249 -> computed delta -0.0134; 4.6330 -0.0134 = 4.6196