VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Guy Ford

Member ID: TVCPC-P0500   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

4.5240 -> 4.4054
Net -0.1186   Record 8-16   Win Rate 33%   Games 24
Initial VIPR
4.5240
Registry seed
Current VIPR
4.4054
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.1186
Current minus initial
Record
8-16
33% win rate · 24 rated games

Storyline

Guy Ford entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 4.5240. Across 24 rated doubles games, the player went 8-16 and moved -0.1186, finishing at 4.4054.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 8-16 record produced +0.0688 from wins and -0.1874 from losses, for a net move of -0.1186. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0170 against Rick Jones as partner and John Hubbs / Chris Donahue as opponents. In game #19 on 2026-10-15, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 4.3260 vs opponent team 4.0216.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Guy's most common partner signals so far: Brian Pierce (2-1, 67%), Gary Jones (1-2, 33%), Jim Suminski (1-1, 50%), Steve LaVallee (0-2, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Guy has faced Brian Pierce 6 times - record: 1-5. A tough matchup so far.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 2-2 4.5240 4.5189 -0.0051
2026-07-09 2-2 4.5189 4.5136 -0.0053
2026-07-16 0-4 4.5136 4.4690 -0.0446
2026-08-13 1-3 4.4690 4.4444 -0.0246
2026-10-15 1-3 4.4444 4.4143 -0.0301
2026-10-22 2-2 4.4143 4.4054 -0.0089

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 5-11 Tony Chiravolo Brian Pierce / Chris Eversole 4.5240 -0.0127 4.5113
2 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Gary Jones Tony Chiravolo / Brian Pierce 4.5113 +0.0102 4.5215
3 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-7 Brian Pierce Chris Eversole / Gary Jones 4.5215 +0.0082 4.5297
4 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 6-11 Chris Eversole Tony Chiravolo / Gary Jones 4.5297 -0.0108 4.5189
5 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 4-11 Gary Jones Steve LaVallee / Brian Pierce 4.5189 -0.0104 4.5085
6 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-10 Jim Suminski Gary Jones / Steve LaVallee 4.5085 +0.0107 4.5192
7 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 4-11 Steve LaVallee Brian Pierce / Jim Suminski 4.5192 -0.0123 4.5069
8 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-4 Brian Pierce Gary Jones / Jim Suminski 4.5069 +0.0067 4.5136
9 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Tony Chiravolo Tony Toledo / Steve LaVallee 4.5136 -0.0117 4.5019
10 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 5-11 Steve LaVallee Tony Chiravolo / Gary Jones 4.5019 -0.0114 4.4905
11 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 Gary Jones Tony Toledo / Tony Chiravolo 4.4905 -0.0095 4.4810
12 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 5-11 Tony Toledo Steve LaVallee / Gary Jones 4.4810 -0.0120 4.4690
13 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 David DeBeradinis Brian Pierce / Jerry Linklater 4.4690 -0.0120 4.4570
14 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 5-11 Tony Toledo Brian Pierce / David DeBeradinis 4.4570 -0.0111 4.4459
15 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Jerry Linklater Tony Toledo / David DeBeradinis 4.4459 +0.0105 4.4564
16 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Brian Pierce Tony Toledo / Jerry Linklater 4.4564 -0.0120 4.4444
17 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-7 David Jeanguenat John Hubbs / Rick Jones 4.4444 +0.0092 4.4536
18 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 9-11 Chris Donahue Rick Jones / David Jeanguenat 4.4536 -0.0055 4.4481
19 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 3-11 Rick Jones John Hubbs / Chris Donahue 4.4481 -0.0170 4.4311
20 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 10-11 John Hubbs David Jeanguenat / Chris Donahue 4.4311 -0.0168 4.4143
21 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-4 Doug LeFebvre Mark Burkowski / Ed Key 4.4143 +0.0046 4.4189
22 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Jim Suminski Doug LeFebvre / Mark Burkowski 4.4189 -0.0124 4.4065
23 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-2 Mark Burkowski Ed Key / Jim Suminski 4.4065 +0.0087 4.4152
24 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Ed Key Doug LeFebvre / Jim Suminski 4.4152 -0.0098 4.4054

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 4.4757 4.3807 -0.0950 -0.0127
2 4.4151 4.4217 -0.0066 +0.0102
3 4.4416 4.3790 +0.0625 +0.0082
4 4.4170 4.3895 -0.0275 -0.0108
5 4.4263 4.4131 -0.0132 -0.0104
6 4.3696 4.3936 -0.0240 +0.0107
7 4.4378 4.3550 -0.0828 -0.0123
8 4.4650 4.3455 +0.1195 +0.0067
9 4.4566 4.3973 -0.0592 -0.0117
10 4.4322 4.3834 -0.0487 -0.0114
11 4.4057 4.4230 +0.0173 -0.0095
12 4.4414 4.3720 -0.0694 -0.0120
13 4.4081 4.3390 -0.0691 -0.0120
14 4.4174 4.3779 -0.0395 -0.0111
15 4.3659 4.3836 -0.0177 +0.0105
16 4.4222 4.3531 -0.0691 -0.0120
17 4.2978 4.2684 +0.0295 +0.0092
18 4.0849 4.2514 +0.1665 -0.0055
19 4.3260 4.0216 -0.3044 -0.0170
20 4.3199 4.0318 -0.2881 -0.0168
21 4.3511 4.1408 +0.2102 +0.0046
22 4.2727 4.1865 -0.0861 -0.0124
23 4.2160 4.1700 +0.0460 +0.0087
24 4.2291 4.2371 +0.0080 -0.0098

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.0950 -> computed delta -0.0127; 4.5240 -0.0127 = 4.5113