VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Joel Lancaster

Member ID: TVCPC-P0503   Generated: 2026-07-23 05:16 PM

3.8540 -> 3.8056
Net -0.0484   Record 5-7   Win Rate 42%   Games 12
Initial VIPR
3.8540
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.8056
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0484
Current minus initial
Record
5-7
42% win rate · 12 rated games

Storyline

Joel Lancaster entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.8540. Across 12 rated doubles games, the player went 5-7 and moved -0.0484, finishing at 3.8056.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 5-7 record produced +0.0283 from wins and -0.0767 from losses, for a net move of -0.0484. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0153 against Robert McCollough as partner and Kevin Geraty / Mathis Hediger as opponents. In game #12 on 2026-07-16, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.6805 vs opponent team 3.4759.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Joel's most common partner signals so far: Kevin Geraty (2-0, 100%), Sunil Sadhwani (1-1, 50%), Brian Wachtel (1-0, 100%), Joe Spano (1-0, 100%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Joel has faced Kevin Geraty 4 times - record: 2-2. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 1-3 3.8540 3.8326 -0.0214
2026-07-09 3-1 3.8326 3.8402 +0.0076
2026-07-16 1-3 3.8402 3.8056 -0.0346

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02 Win 11-7 Brian Wachtel Pete Nikolakakis / Michael Marx 3.8540 +0.0087 3.8627
2 2026-07-02 Loss 0-11 Michael Marx Pete Nikolakakis / Matt Dame 3.8627 -0.0092 3.8535
3 2026-07-02 Loss 10-11 Pete Nikolakakis Brian Wachtel / Matt Dame 3.8535 -0.0102 3.8433
4 2026-07-02 Loss 8-11 Matt Dame Brian Wachtel / Michael Marx 3.8433 -0.0107 3.8326
5 2026-07-09 Win 11-8 Kevin Geraty Joe Spano / John Patton 3.8326 +0.0073 3.8399
6 2026-07-09 Loss 4-11 John Patton Joe Spano / Sunil Sadhwani 3.8399 -0.0063 3.8336
7 2026-07-09 Win 11-5 Joe Spano Kevin Geraty / Sunil Sadhwani 3.8336 +0.0012 3.8348
8 2026-07-09 Win 11-8 Sunil Sadhwani Kevin Geraty / John Patton 3.8348 +0.0054 3.8402
9 2026-07-16 Win 11-8 Kevin Geraty Robert McCollough / Sunil Sadhwani 3.8402 +0.0057 3.8459
10 2026-07-16 Loss 3-11 Mathis Hediger Sunil Sadhwani / Kevin Geraty 3.8459 -0.0140 3.8319
11 2026-07-16 Loss 1-11 Sunil Sadhwani Robert McCollough / Mathis Hediger 3.8319 -0.0110 3.8209
12 2026-07-16 Loss 4-11 Robert McCollough Kevin Geraty / Mathis Hediger 3.8209 -0.0153 3.8056

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.8663 3.8202 +0.0461 +0.0087
2 3.8092 3.8386 +0.0294 -0.0092
3 3.8613 3.8550 -0.0063 -0.0102
4 3.8474 3.8231 -0.0243 -0.0107
5 3.6099 3.5155 +0.0944 +0.0073
6 3.4442 3.5788 +0.1346 -0.0063
7 3.9014 3.4237 +0.4777 +0.0012
8 3.5154 3.3432 +0.1722 +0.0054
9 3.6141 3.4532 +0.1609 +0.0057
10 3.5707 3.4216 -0.1491 -0.0140
11 3.5241 3.4899 -0.0342 -0.0110
12 3.6805 3.4759 -0.2045 -0.0153

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.0461 -> computed delta +0.0087; 3.8540 +0.0087 = 3.8627