VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Joel Lancaster

Member ID: TVCPC-P0503   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.8540 -> 3.7847
Net -0.0693   Record 20-16   Win Rate 56%   Games 36
Initial VIPR
3.8540
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.7847
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0693
Current minus initial
Record
20-16
56% win rate · 36 rated games

Storyline

Joel Lancaster entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.8540. Across 36 rated doubles games, the player went 20-16 and moved -0.0693, finishing at 3.7847.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The record was positive, but the rating dipped because the 20 wins added +0.1330 while the 16 loss(es) gave back -0.2023. The biggest single-game impact was +0.0180 against John Patton as partner and Kevin Geraty / Dan Civitarese as opponents. In game #27 on 2026-09-24, the player's team was the lower-rated team, so the win carried a larger gain: player team 3.4230 vs opponent team 3.8090.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Joel's most common partner signals so far: John Patton (3-1, 75%), Kevin Geraty (3-1, 75%), Jerry Johnson (2-0, 100%), Kenneth Enos (2-0, 100%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Joel has faced John Patton 8 times - record: 6-2. Clear ownership of the matchup.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 1-3 3.8540 3.8326 -0.0214
2026-07-09 3-1 3.8326 3.8402 +0.0076
2026-07-16 1-3 3.8402 3.8056 -0.0346
2026-08-27 3-1 3.8056 3.8073 +0.0017
2026-09-10 1-3 3.8073 3.7741 -0.0332
2026-09-17 4-0 3.7741 3.7958 +0.0217
2026-09-24 3-1 3.7958 3.8073 +0.0115
2026-10-15 3-1 3.8073 3.8139 +0.0066
2026-10-22 1-3 3.8139 3.7847 -0.0292

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-7 Brian Wachtel Pete Nikolakakis / Michael Marx 3.8540 +0.0087 3.8627
2 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 0-11 Michael Marx Pete Nikolakakis / Matt Dame 3.8627 -0.0092 3.8535
3 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 10-11 Pete Nikolakakis Brian Wachtel / Matt Dame 3.8535 -0.0102 3.8433
4 2026-07-02
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 Matt Dame Brian Wachtel / Michael Marx 3.8433 -0.0107 3.8326
5 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-8 Kevin Geraty Joe Spano / John Patton 3.8326 +0.0073 3.8399
6 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 4-11 John Patton Joe Spano / Sunil Sadhwani 3.8399 -0.0063 3.8336
7 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Joe Spano Kevin Geraty / Sunil Sadhwani 3.8336 +0.0012 3.8348
8 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-8 Sunil Sadhwani Kevin Geraty / John Patton 3.8348 +0.0054 3.8402
9 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-8 Kevin Geraty Robert McCollough / Sunil Sadhwani 3.8402 +0.0057 3.8459
10 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 3-11 Mathis Hediger Sunil Sadhwani / Kevin Geraty 3.8459 -0.0140 3.8319
11 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 1-11 Sunil Sadhwani Robert McCollough / Mathis Hediger 3.8319 -0.0110 3.8209
12 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 4-11 Robert McCollough Kevin Geraty / Mathis Hediger 3.8209 -0.0153 3.8056
13 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 David Roman Jerry Johnson / Ron Ahart 3.8056 -0.0176 3.7880
14 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-3 Ron Ahart Jerry Johnson / Roy Strasburg 3.7880 +0.0041 3.7921
15 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-2 Jerry Johnson David Roman / Roy Strasburg 3.7921 +0.0092 3.8013
16 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-2 Roy Strasburg David Roman / Ron Ahart 3.8013 +0.0060 3.8073
17 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Ernest Ferguson Mike Long / Ken Lomando 3.8073 -0.0168 3.7905
18 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 6-11 Ken Lomando Mike Long / Kenneth Enos 3.7905 -0.0176 3.7729
19 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 0-11 Mike Long Ernest Ferguson / Kenneth Enos 3.7729 -0.0075 3.7654
20 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-9 Kenneth Enos Ernest Ferguson / Ken Lomando 3.7654 +0.0087 3.7741
21 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-7 John Patton Jerry Johnson / Ron Ahart 3.7741 +0.0048 3.7789
22 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-3 Ron Ahart Jerry Johnson / Rusty Bateman 3.7789 +0.0040 3.7829
23 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-7 Jerry Johnson John Patton / Rusty Bateman 3.7829 +0.0081 3.7910
24 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Rusty Bateman John Patton / Ron Ahart 3.7910 +0.0048 3.7958
25 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-6 Dan Civitarese Kevin Geraty / Edward Gainer 3.7958 +0.0018 3.7976
26 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 3-11 Edward Gainer Dan Civitarese / John Patton 3.7976 -0.0119 3.7857
27 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-3 John Patton Kevin Geraty / Dan Civitarese 3.7857 +0.0180 3.8037
28 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-8 Kevin Geraty Edward Gainer / John Patton 3.8037 +0.0036 3.8073
29 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-6 Edward Gainer Kevin Terhark / Robert McCollough 3.8073 +0.0068 3.8141
30 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 0-11 Robert McCollough Kevin Terhark / John Patton 3.8141 -0.0160 3.7981
31 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-10 Kevin Terhark Edward Gainer / John Patton 3.7981 +0.0044 3.8025
32 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-1 John Patton Edward Gainer / Robert McCollough 3.8025 +0.0114 3.8139
33 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 5-11 David Brown Kenneth Enos / Kevin Geraty 3.8139 -0.0163 3.7976
34 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 8-11 Kevin Geraty David Brown / Glen Yergeau 3.7976 -0.0098 3.7878
35 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 6-11 Glen Yergeau Kenneth Enos / David Brown 3.7878 -0.0121 3.7757
36 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-7 Kenneth Enos Kevin Geraty / Glen Yergeau 3.7757 +0.0090 3.7847

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.8663 3.8202 +0.0461 +0.0087
2 3.8092 3.8386 +0.0294 -0.0092
3 3.8613 3.8550 -0.0063 -0.0102
4 3.8474 3.8231 -0.0243 -0.0107
5 3.6099 3.5155 +0.0944 +0.0073
6 3.4442 3.5788 +0.1346 -0.0063
7 3.9014 3.4237 +0.4777 +0.0012
8 3.5154 3.3432 +0.1722 +0.0054
9 3.6141 3.4532 +0.1609 +0.0057
10 3.5707 3.4216 -0.1491 -0.0140
11 3.5241 3.4899 -0.0342 -0.0110
12 3.6805 3.4759 -0.2045 -0.0153
13 3.4961 3.1489 -0.3472 -0.0176
14 3.4098 3.1765 +0.2333 +0.0041
15 3.3270 3.2976 +0.0293 +0.0092
16 3.4197 3.2726 +0.1471 +0.0060
17 3.6142 3.3252 -0.2890 -0.0168
18 3.6545 3.3048 -0.3497 -0.0176
19 3.4073 3.4973 +0.0900 -0.0075
20 3.5812 3.5371 +0.0441 +0.0087
21 3.3942 3.1934 +0.2008 +0.0048
22 3.4390 3.2008 +0.2382 +0.0040
23 3.3327 3.2644 +0.0683 +0.0081
24 3.4532 3.2543 +0.1989 +0.0048
25 3.9668 3.5624 +0.4044 +0.0018
26 3.6426 3.5761 -0.0665 -0.0119
27 3.4230 3.8090 -0.3861 +0.0180
28 3.6293 3.3635 +0.2658 +0.0036
29 3.6161 3.4996 +0.1165 +0.0068
30 3.5919 3.3494 -0.2425 -0.0160
31 3.5945 3.3755 +0.2189 +0.0044
32 3.4470 3.4952 -0.0483 +0.0114
33 3.7656 3.5102 -0.2554 -0.0163
34 3.6262 3.6335 +0.0073 -0.0098
35 3.6523 3.5788 -0.0735 -0.0121
36 3.5960 3.5606 +0.0354 +0.0090

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.0461 -> computed delta +0.0087; 3.8540 +0.0087 = 3.8627