VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Kathi Lancaster

Member ID: TVCPC-P0515   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.2450 -> 3.1955
Net -0.0495   Record 16-12   Win Rate 57%   Games 28
Initial VIPR
3.2450
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.1955
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0495
Current minus initial
Record
16-12
57% win rate · 28 rated games

Storyline

Kathi Lancaster entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.2450. Across 28 rated doubles games, the player went 16-12 and moved -0.0495, finishing at 3.1955.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The record was positive, but the rating dipped because the 16 wins added +0.1076 while the 12 loss(es) gave back -0.1571. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0173 against Rosa Kopja as partner and Elena Gordon / Joy McCormick as opponents. In game #15 on 2026-08-27, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.0582 vs opponent team 2.7340.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Kathi's most common partner signals so far: Joy McCormick (5-0, 100%), Elena Gordon (3-0, 100%), Beth Arms (1-1, 50%), Debbie Chaffee (0-2, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Kathi has faced Joy McCormick 8 times - record: 4-4. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 1-3 3.2450 3.2110 -0.0340
2026-07-09 3-1 3.2110 3.2099 -0.0011
2026-07-16 3-1 3.2099 3.2160 +0.0061
2026-08-27 3-1 3.2160 3.2308 +0.0148
2026-09-10 3-1 3.2308 3.2372 +0.0064
2026-09-17 0-4 3.2372 3.1919 -0.0453
2026-10-15 3-1 3.1919 3.1955 +0.0036

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Deborah Austin Debbie Chaffee / Beth Arms 3.2450 -0.0130 3.2320
2 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 3-11 Beth Arms Deborah Austin / Barbara Amato 3.2320 -0.0158 3.2162
3 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Barbara Amato Debbie Chaffee / Deborah Austin 3.2162 +0.0102 3.2264
4 2026-07-02
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 2-11 Debbie Chaffee Beth Arms / Barbara Amato 3.2264 -0.0154 3.2110
5 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 10-11 Jackie Huckins Carol Spano / Joy McCormick 3.2110 -0.0167 3.1943
6 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Cynthia Speiran Jackie Huckins / Carol Spano 3.1943 +0.0071 3.2014
7 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-2 Carol Spano Joy McCormick / Cynthia Speiran 3.2014 +0.0037 3.2051
8 2026-07-09
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-1 Joy McCormick Jackie Huckins / Cynthia Speiran 3.2051 +0.0048 3.2099
9 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-10 Beth Arms Kim Johnson / Tammy Wilson 3.2099 +0.0047 3.2146
10 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-8 Fern S Reisinger Beth Arms / Kim Johnson 3.2146 +0.0113 3.2259
11 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-6 Kim Johnson Tammy Wilson / Fern S Reisinger 3.2259 +0.0034 3.2293
12 2026-07-16
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 4-11 Tammy Wilson Beth Arms / Fern S Reisinger 3.2293 -0.0133 3.2160
13 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-7 Joy McCormick Rosa Kopja / Elena Gordon 3.2160 +0.0151 3.2311
14 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-6 Elena Gordon Rosa Kopja / Joy McCormick 3.2311 +0.0028 3.2339
15 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 7-11 Rosa Kopja Elena Gordon / Joy McCormick 3.2339 -0.0173 3.2166
16 2026-08-27
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-9 Joy McCormick Rosa Kopja / Elena Gordon 3.2166 +0.0142 3.2308
17 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-8 Joy McCormick Elena Gordon / Mary LaFrancois 3.2308 +0.0128 3.2436
18 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Loss 8-11 Debbie Chaffee Joy McCormick / Elena Gordon 3.2436 -0.0145 3.2291
19 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-3 Elena Gordon Mary LaFrancois / Debbie Chaffee 3.2291 +0.0047 3.2338
20 2026-09-10
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - SUMMER 2026
Win 11-5 Mary LaFrancois Joy McCormick / Debbie Chaffee 3.2338 +0.0034 3.2372
21 2026-09-17
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 10-11 Tricia Gallagher Brenda Leardi / Diane Polansky 3.2372 -0.0095 3.2277
22 2026-09-17
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 Rose Hoffmann Brenda Leardi / Tricia Gallagher 3.2277 -0.0126 3.2151
23 2026-09-17
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 3-11 Diane Polansky Rose Hoffmann / Tricia Gallagher 3.2151 -0.0109 3.2042
24 2026-09-17
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Brenda Leardi Rose Hoffmann / Diane Polansky 3.2042 -0.0123 3.1919
25 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-4 Elena Gordon Joy McCormick / Gayle Kiefer 3.1919 +0.0052 3.1971
26 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-9 Gayle Kiefer Elena Gordon / Debra Fox 3.1971 +0.0013 3.1984
27 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 6-11 Debra Fox Joy McCormick / Elena Gordon 3.1984 -0.0058 3.1926
28 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-9 Joy McCormick Gayle Kiefer / Debra Fox 3.1926 +0.0029 3.1955

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 2.9748 2.8665 -0.1083 -0.0130
2 2.9821 2.7494 -0.2327 -0.0158
3 2.8662 2.8733 -0.0071 +0.0102
4 2.9785 2.7685 -0.2099 -0.0154
5 2.8162 2.5347 -0.2815 -0.0167
6 2.7012 2.5972 +0.1040 +0.0071
7 2.7671 2.5066 +0.2605 +0.0037
8 2.7292 2.5288 +0.2005 +0.0048
9 2.9805 2.7764 +0.2041 +0.0047
10 2.8486 2.8926 -0.0439 +0.0113
11 2.9834 2.7101 +0.2734 +0.0034
12 2.8748 2.7554 -0.1194 -0.0133
13 2.7968 2.9935 -0.1968 +0.0151
14 3.0520 2.7383 +0.3138 +0.0028
15 3.0582 2.7340 -0.3242 -0.0173
16 2.8177 2.9745 -0.1569 +0.0142
17 2.8452 2.9457 -0.1005 +0.0128
18 2.9472 2.7807 -0.1665 -0.0145
19 3.0475 2.8433 +0.2043 +0.0047
20 3.0185 2.7446 +0.2739 +0.0034
21 3.1249 3.1425 +0.0176 -0.0095
22 3.2121 3.1179 -0.0942 -0.0126
23 3.1456 3.1137 -0.0319 -0.0109
24 3.2176 3.1345 -0.0831 -0.0123
25 3.0062 2.8261 +0.1801 +0.0052
26 3.0413 2.5721 +0.4692 +0.0013
27 2.6501 2.8070 +0.1569 -0.0058
28 2.8892 2.5798 +0.3095 +0.0029

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.1083 -> computed delta -0.0130; 3.2450 -0.0130 = 3.2320