VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Craig Vogel

Member ID: TVCPC-P0542   Generated: 2026-07-23 05:16 PM

3.8750 -> 3.8035
Net -0.0715   Record 3-9   Win Rate 25%   Games 12
Initial VIPR
3.8750
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.8035
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0715
Current minus initial
Record
3-9
25% win rate · 12 rated games

Storyline

Craig Vogel entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.8750. Across 12 rated doubles games, the player went 3-9 and moved -0.0715, finishing at 3.8035.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 3-9 record produced +0.0373 from wins and -0.1088 from losses, for a net move of -0.0715. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0194 against Tim Tonguis as partner and Ramon Jimenez / Michael Marx as opponents. In game #9 on 2026-07-23, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.8130 vs opponent team 3.2025.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Craig's most common partner signals so far: Frank Pindulic (1-1, 50%), Matt Dame (1-1, 50%), Chris Donahue (1-0, 100%), Fred Veenstra (0-1, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Craig has faced John Hayward 4 times - record: 2-2. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-09 2-2 3.8750 3.8754 +0.0004
2026-07-16 1-3 3.8754 3.8551 -0.0203
2026-07-23 0-4 3.8551 3.8035 -0.0516

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-09 Loss 4-11 Joseph Weber Chris Donahue / John Hayward 3.8750 -0.0159 3.8591
2 2026-07-09 Loss 7-11 Matt Dame John Hayward / Frank Pindulic 3.8591 -0.0121 3.8470
3 2026-07-09 Win 11-8 Frank Pindulic John Hayward / Joseph Weber 3.8470 +0.0141 3.8611
4 2026-07-09 Win 11-10 Chris Donahue Matt Dame / Joseph Weber 3.8611 +0.0143 3.8754
5 2026-07-16 Loss 7-11 John Hayward Scott Konkel / Fred Veenstra 3.8754 -0.0093 3.8661
6 2026-07-16 Loss 8-11 John Ressler Scott Konkel / Matt Dame 3.8661 -0.0101 3.8560
7 2026-07-16 Loss 6-11 Fred Veenstra Scott Konkel / John Ressler 3.8560 -0.0098 3.8462
8 2026-07-16 Win 11-7 Matt Dame John Hayward / John Ressler 3.8462 +0.0089 3.8551
9 2026-07-23 Loss 8-11 Tim Tonguis Ramon Jimenez / Michael Marx 3.8551 -0.0194 3.8357
10 2026-07-23 Loss 1-11 Frank Pindulic Tim Tonguis / Ramon Jimenez 3.8357 -0.0192 3.8165
11 2026-07-23 Loss 7-11 Ramon Jimenez Michael Marx / Frank Pindulic 3.8165 -0.0011 3.8154
12 2026-07-23 Loss 3-11 Michael Marx Tim Tonguis / Frank Pindulic 3.8154 -0.0119 3.8035

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.9758 3.7383 -0.2375 -0.0159
2 3.8500 3.7746 -0.0754 -0.0121
3 3.7871 3.9402 -0.1531 +0.0141
4 3.7733 3.9350 -0.1617 +0.0143
5 3.8380 3.8628 +0.0248 -0.0093
6 3.8464 3.8431 -0.0033 -0.0101
7 3.8530 3.8584 +0.0054 -0.0098
8 3.8475 3.8092 +0.0383 +0.0089
9 3.8130 3.2025 -0.6104 -0.0194
10 3.7695 3.2165 -0.5530 -0.0192
11 3.2480 3.7454 +0.4974 -0.0011
12 3.8055 3.7387 -0.0668 -0.0119

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.2375 -> computed delta -0.0159; 3.8750 -0.0159 = 3.8591