VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Craig Vogel

Member ID: TVCPC-P0542   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

3.8750 -> 3.7476
Net -0.1274   Record 22-34   Win Rate 39%   Games 56
Initial VIPR
3.8750
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.7476
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.1274
Current minus initial
Record
22-34
39% win rate · 56 rated games

Storyline

Craig Vogel entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.8750. Across 56 rated doubles games, the player went 22-34 and moved -0.1274, finishing at 3.7476.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 22-34 record produced +0.2225 from wins and -0.3499 from losses, for a net move of -0.1274. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0194 against Tim Tonguis as partner and Ramon Jimenez / Michael Marx as opponents. In game #9 on 2026-07-23, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.8130 vs opponent team 3.2025.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Craig's most common partner signals so far: Joseph DeVito (3-3, 50%), Matt Dame (3-2, 60%), Mark Wu (2-3, 40%), Sunil Sadhwani (4-0, 100%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Craig has faced Joseph DeVito 15 times - record: 7-8. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-09 2-2 3.8750 3.8754 +0.0004
2026-07-16 1-3 3.8754 3.8551 -0.0203
2026-07-23 0-4 3.8551 3.8035 -0.0516
2026-08-06 1-3 3.8035 3.7829 -0.0206
2026-08-13 2-2 3.7829 3.7888 +0.0059
2026-08-20 2-2 3.7888 3.7900 +0.0012
2026-08-27 2-2 3.7900 3.7910 +0.0010
2026-09-03 2-2 3.7910 3.7865 -0.0045
2026-09-10 1-3 3.7865 3.7630 -0.0235
2026-09-17 2-2 3.7630 3.7605 -0.0025
2026-09-24 1-3 3.7605 3.7359 -0.0246
2026-10-01 3-1 3.7359 3.7535 +0.0176
2026-10-15 2-2 3.7535 3.7546 +0.0011
2026-10-22 1-3 3.7546 3.7476 -0.0070

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 4-11 Joseph Weber Chris Donahue / John Hayward 3.8750 -0.0159 3.8591
2 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Matt Dame John Hayward / Frank Pindulic 3.8591 -0.0121 3.8470
3 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-8 Frank Pindulic John Hayward / Joseph Weber 3.8470 +0.0141 3.8611
4 2026-07-09
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-10 Chris Donahue Matt Dame / Joseph Weber 3.8611 +0.0143 3.8754
5 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 John Hayward Scott Konkel / Fred Veenstra 3.8754 -0.0093 3.8661
6 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 John Ressler Scott Konkel / Matt Dame 3.8661 -0.0101 3.8560
7 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 6-11 Fred Veenstra Scott Konkel / John Ressler 3.8560 -0.0098 3.8462
8 2026-07-16
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-7 Matt Dame John Hayward / John Ressler 3.8462 +0.0089 3.8551
9 2026-07-23
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 Tim Tonguis Ramon Jimenez / Michael Marx 3.8551 -0.0194 3.8357
10 2026-07-23
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 1-11 Frank Pindulic Tim Tonguis / Ramon Jimenez 3.8357 -0.0192 3.8165
11 2026-07-23
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Ramon Jimenez Michael Marx / Frank Pindulic 3.8165 -0.0011 3.8154
12 2026-07-23
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 3-11 Michael Marx Tim Tonguis / Frank Pindulic 3.8154 -0.0119 3.8035
13 2026-08-06
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 John Ressler Kevin Battle / Joseph DeVito 3.8035 -0.0132 3.7903
14 2026-08-06
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-6 Joseph Weber Joseph DeVito / Jimmy Bowes 3.7903 +0.0051 3.7954
15 2026-08-06
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 8-11 Jimmy Bowes Joseph DeVito / John Ressler 3.7954 -0.0079 3.7875
16 2026-08-06
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 10-11 Kevin Battle Joseph Weber / John Ressler 3.7875 -0.0046 3.7829
17 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 0-11 Jim Feehan Mark Wu / Mark Norman 3.7829 -0.0046 3.7783
18 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-3 ANDREW HARRIS Mark Wu / Jim Feehan 3.7783 +0.0108 3.7891
19 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-6 Mark Norman ANDREW HARRIS / Jim Feehan 3.7891 +0.0080 3.7971
20 2026-08-13
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 1-11 Mark Wu ANDREW HARRIS / Mark Norman 3.7971 -0.0083 3.7888
21 2026-08-20
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 Jimmy Bowes Pete Nikolakakis / Matt Dame 3.7888 -0.0071 3.7817
22 2026-08-20
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 6-11 Matt Dame Jimmy Bowes / Joseph DeVito 3.7817 -0.0121 3.7696
23 2026-08-20
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-4 Joseph DeVito Pete Nikolakakis / Jimmy Bowes 3.7696 +0.0099 3.7795
24 2026-08-20
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Pete Nikolakakis Matt Dame / Joseph DeVito 3.7795 +0.0105 3.7900
25 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-9 Christopher Burns Pete Nikolakakis / Matt Dame 3.7900 +0.0105 3.8005
26 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-4 Matt Dame Christopher Burns / Jim Feehan 3.8005 +0.0094 3.8099
27 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 10-11 Jim Feehan Pete Nikolakakis / Christopher Burns 3.8099 -0.0076 3.8023
28 2026-08-27
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Pete Nikolakakis Matt Dame / Jim Feehan 3.8023 -0.0113 3.7910
29 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-5 Dan Scheer Joseph DeVito / Jimmy Bowes 3.7910 +0.0108 3.8018
30 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 Jim Toth Dan Scheer / Joseph DeVito 3.8018 -0.0092 3.7926
31 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-10 Joseph DeVito Jimmy Bowes / Jim Toth 3.7926 +0.0062 3.7988
32 2026-09-03
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 1-11 Jimmy Bowes Dan Scheer / Jim Toth 3.7988 -0.0123 3.7865
33 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 10-11 Joseph DeVito Mark Wu / Kevin Battle 3.7865 -0.0109 3.7756
34 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Kevin Battle Mark Wu / Robert Nunn 3.7756 -0.0094 3.7662
35 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 7-11 Mark Wu Joseph DeVito / Robert Nunn 3.7662 -0.0143 3.7519
36 2026-09-10
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-9 Robert Nunn Joseph DeVito / Kevin Battle 3.7519 +0.0111 3.7630
37 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 Kevin Battle Mark Wu / Robert Nunn 3.7630 -0.0082 3.7548
38 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-3 Sunil Sadhwani Robert Nunn / Kevin Battle 3.7548 +0.0103 3.7651
39 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 4-11 Robert Nunn Mark Wu / Sunil Sadhwani 3.7651 -0.0090 3.7561
40 2026-09-17
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-8 Mark Wu Kevin Battle / Sunil Sadhwani 3.7561 +0.0044 3.7605
41 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 9-11 Robert Nunn Joseph DeVito / Sunil Sadhwani 3.7605 -0.0102 3.7503
42 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 5-11 Jimmy Bowes Sunil Sadhwani / Robert Nunn 3.7503 -0.0128 3.7375
43 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Win 11-6 Sunil Sadhwani Joseph DeVito / Jimmy Bowes 3.7375 +0.0120 3.7495
44 2026-09-24
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Summer 2026
Loss 6-11 Joseph DeVito Robert Nunn / Jimmy Bowes 3.7495 -0.0136 3.7359
45 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-8 Joseph DeVito Sunil Sadhwani / Jim Toth 3.7359 +0.0070 3.7429
46 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-6 Jim Toth Joseph DeVito / Wade Maribito 3.7429 +0.0112 3.7541
47 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Wade Maribito Sunil Sadhwani / Joseph DeVito 3.7541 -0.0106 3.7435
48 2026-10-01
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-5 Sunil Sadhwani Jim Toth / Wade Maribito 3.7435 +0.0100 3.7535
49 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-6 Sunil Sadhwani Mark Wu / David Brown 3.7535 +0.0148 3.7683
50 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 9-11 David Brown Sunil Sadhwani / Joseph DeVito 3.7683 -0.0118 3.7565
51 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 10-11 Joseph DeVito Mark Wu / Sunil Sadhwani 3.7565 -0.0102 3.7463
52 2026-10-15
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-4 Mark Wu David Brown / Joseph DeVito 3.7463 +0.0083 3.7546
53 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Robert Naumann Matt Dame / Mark Wu 3.7546 -0.0071 3.7475
54 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 5-11 Mark Wu Robert Naumann / Joe Spano 3.7475 -0.0073 3.7402
55 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 3-11 Joe Spano Matt Dame / Robert Naumann 3.7402 -0.0075 3.7327
56 2026-10-22
Thursday Men's Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-3 Matt Dame Mark Wu / Joe Spano 3.7327 +0.0149 3.7476

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.9758 3.7383 -0.2375 -0.0159
2 3.8500 3.7746 -0.0754 -0.0121
3 3.7871 3.9402 -0.1531 +0.0141
4 3.7733 3.9350 -0.1617 +0.0143
5 3.8380 3.8628 +0.0248 -0.0093
6 3.8464 3.8431 -0.0033 -0.0101
7 3.8530 3.8584 +0.0054 -0.0098
8 3.8475 3.8092 +0.0383 +0.0089
9 3.8130 3.2025 -0.6104 -0.0194
10 3.7695 3.2165 -0.5530 -0.0192
11 3.2480 3.7454 +0.4974 -0.0011
12 3.8055 3.7387 -0.0668 -0.0119
13 3.8027 3.6875 -0.1153 -0.0132
14 3.8993 3.7112 +0.1881 +0.0051
15 3.7124 3.7848 +0.0724 -0.0079
16 3.6936 3.9029 +0.2093 -0.0046
17 3.7737 3.9857 +0.2120 -0.0046
18 3.8013 3.8293 -0.0281 +0.0108
19 3.8574 3.7878 +0.0696 +0.0080
20 3.8484 3.9078 +0.0594 -0.0083
21 3.7418 3.8437 +0.1019 -0.0071
22 3.8078 3.7320 -0.0758 -0.0121
23 3.7708 3.7660 +0.0048 +0.0099
24 3.7923 3.8088 -0.0166 +0.0105
25 3.8241 3.8400 -0.0158 +0.0105
26 3.8144 3.7949 +0.0195 +0.0094
27 3.7661 3.8522 +0.0860 -0.0076
28 3.8144 3.7708 -0.0437 -0.0113
29 3.7203 3.7475 -0.0272 +0.0108
30 3.6923 3.7201 +0.0277 -0.0092
31 3.7946 3.6576 +0.1370 +0.0062
32 3.7306 3.6508 -0.0799 -0.0123
33 3.7922 3.7597 -0.0325 -0.0109
34 3.7065 3.7273 +0.0208 -0.0094
35 3.8359 3.6755 -0.1605 -0.0143
36 3.6695 3.7081 -0.0386 +0.0111
37 3.6852 3.7484 +0.0632 -0.0082
38 3.6356 3.6466 -0.0111 +0.0103
39 3.6798 3.7155 +0.0357 -0.0090
40 3.8311 3.6127 +0.2184 +0.0044
41 3.6677 3.6614 -0.0063 -0.0102
42 3.7075 3.6076 -0.0998 -0.0128
43 3.6525 3.7227 -0.0702 +0.0120
44 3.7704 3.6406 -0.1297 -0.0136
45 3.7533 3.6471 +0.1063 +0.0070
46 3.6833 3.7254 -0.0421 +0.0112
47 3.6977 3.6764 -0.0213 -0.0106
48 3.6674 3.6672 +0.0002 +0.0100
49 3.6774 3.8572 -0.1797 +0.0148
50 3.7689 3.7043 -0.0645 -0.0118
51 3.7773 3.7711 -0.0061 -0.0102
52 3.8302 3.7719 +0.0583 +0.0083
53 3.8102 3.9126 +0.1024 -0.0071
54 3.8357 3.9320 +0.0963 -0.0073
55 3.7975 3.8862 +0.0887 -0.0075
56 3.7731 3.9591 -0.1861 +0.0149

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff -0.2375 -> computed delta -0.0159; 3.8750 -0.0159 = 3.8591