VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Karen Mercer

Member ID: TVCPC-P0609   Generated: 2026-10-29 07:46 PM

2.9720 -> 2.9576
Net -0.0144   Record 6-10   Win Rate 38%   Games 16
Initial VIPR
2.9720
Registry seed
Current VIPR
2.9576
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0144
Current minus initial
Record
6-10
38% win rate · 16 rated games

Storyline

Karen Mercer entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 2.9720. Across 16 rated doubles games, the player went 6-10 and moved -0.0144, finishing at 2.9576.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 6-10 record produced +0.0605 from wins and -0.0749 from losses, for a net move of -0.0144. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0138 against Jamie Marshall as partner and Elena Gordon / Joy McCormick as opponents. In game #13 on 2026-10-29, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 2.9553 vs opponent team 2.8158.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Karen's most common partner signals so far: Margaret Adrian (2-1, 67%), Karen Kellam (1-1, 50%), Barbara J Kennedy (0-2, 0%), Debbie Fischer (0-2, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Karen has faced Debbie Fischer 4 times - record: 0-4. A tough matchup so far.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-10-01 2-2 2.9720 2.9748 +0.0028
2026-10-15 1-3 2.9748 2.9670 -0.0078
2026-10-22 0-4 2.9670 2.9406 -0.0264
2026-10-29 3-1 2.9406 2.9576 +0.0170

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-0 Renae Kray Kathy Sutyak / Margaret Adrian 2.9720 +0.0092 2.9812
2 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 10-11 Margaret Adrian Renae Kray / Kathy Sutyak 2.9812 -0.0084 2.9728
3 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 3-11 Kathy Sutyak Renae Kray / Margaret Adrian 2.9728 -0.0099 2.9629
4 2026-10-01
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-3 Margaret Adrian Renae Kray / Kathy Sutyak 2.9629 +0.0119 2.9748
5 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 5-11 Jamie Marshall Barbara J Kennedy / Debbie Fischer 2.9748 -0.0048 2.9700
6 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 8-11 Debbie Fischer Jamie Marshall / Karen Kellam 2.9700 -0.0071 2.9629
7 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-6 Karen Kellam Barbara J Kennedy / Jamie Marshall 2.9629 +0.0086 2.9715
8 2026-10-15
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 9-11 Barbara J Kennedy Debbie Fischer / Karen Kellam 2.9715 -0.0045 2.9670
9 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 2-11 Karen Kellam Barbara J Kennedy / Debbie Fischer 2.9670 -0.0083 2.9587
10 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 5-11 Debbie Fischer Karen Kellam / Rosa Kopja 2.9587 -0.0064 2.9523
11 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 7-11 Rosa Kopja Barbara J Kennedy / Karen Kellam 2.9523 -0.0027 2.9496
12 2026-10-22
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 5-11 Barbara J Kennedy Debbie Fischer / Rosa Kopja 2.9496 -0.0090 2.9406
13 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Loss 8-11 Jamie Marshall Elena Gordon / Joy McCormick 2.9406 -0.0138 2.9268
14 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-3 Joy McCormick Jamie Marshall / Margaret Adrian 2.9268 +0.0136 2.9404
15 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-8 Margaret Adrian Elena Gordon / Jamie Marshall 2.9404 +0.0105 2.9509
16 2026-10-29
Thursday Ladies Ladder League - Fall 2026
Win 11-6 Elena Gordon Joy McCormick / Margaret Adrian 2.9509 +0.0067 2.9576

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.0000 2.9713 +0.0287 +0.0092
2 2.9592 3.0159 +0.0567 -0.0084
3 2.9807 2.9838 +0.0031 -0.0099
4 2.9548 3.0203 -0.0655 +0.0119
5 2.9824 3.1832 +0.2009 -0.0048
6 3.0317 3.1343 +0.1026 -0.0071
7 3.1150 3.0650 +0.0500 +0.0086
8 3.0437 3.2588 +0.2151 -0.0045
9 3.1218 3.1807 +0.0588 -0.0083
10 3.0243 3.1551 +0.1308 -0.0064
11 2.9724 3.2935 +0.3211 -0.0027
12 3.0288 3.0645 +0.0357 -0.0090
13 2.9553 2.8158 -0.1395 -0.0138
14 2.8212 2.9536 -0.1324 +0.0136
15 2.9385 2.9572 -0.0187 +0.0105
16 2.9511 2.8320 +0.1191 +0.0067

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.0287 -> computed delta +0.0092; 2.9720 +0.0092 = 2.9812