VIPR Rating Audit Trail

Ray Kopja

Member ID: TVCPC-P0203   Generated: 2026-07-23 05:16 PM

3.1350 -> 3.0808
Net -0.0542   Record 3-7   Win Rate 30%   Games 10
Initial VIPR
3.1350
Registry seed
Current VIPR
3.0808
After latest rated game
Net Movement
-0.0542
Current minus initial
Record
3-7
30% win rate · 10 rated games

Storyline

Ray Kopja entered VIPR with an initial registry rating of 3.1350. Across 10 rated doubles games, the player went 3-7 and moved -0.0542, finishing at 3.0808.

Why It Moved

AI-generated explanation: The 3-7 record produced +0.0258 from wins and -0.0800 from losses, for a net move of -0.0542. The biggest single-game impact was -0.0169 against Eric Jones as partner and Robert Gannon / Roger Thurman as opponents. In game #10 on 2026-07-23, VIPR expected the player's team to have the edge, so the loss carried a larger drop: player team 3.1406 vs opponent team 2.8456.

Partner Chemistry

Partnership patterns are starting to emerge.

Ray's most common partner signals so far: Ron Ahart (1-1, 50%), Jerry Johnson (1-0, 100%), John Kasberger (1-0, 100%), David Condle (0-1, 0%). No partnership has reached both the 8+ match and 75%+ win-rate marker yet, so treat this as directional.

Streaks & Rivalries
Rivalry

Ray has faced Ron Ahart 3 times - record: 1-2. A close matchup worth watching.

Session Summary

DateW-LStartEndNet
2026-07-02 2-2 3.1350 3.1345 -0.0005
2026-07-09 0-2 3.1345 3.1053 -0.0292
2026-07-23 1-3 3.1053 3.0808 -0.0245

Game-By-Game Rating Trail

#DateResultScorePartnerOpponentsBeforeChangeAfter
1 2026-07-02 Win 11-4 Ron Ahart Mike Long / David Condle 3.1350 +0.0088 3.1438
2 2026-07-02 Loss 0-11 David Condle Mike Long / Jerry Johnson 3.1438 -0.0104 3.1334
3 2026-07-02 Loss 8-11 Mike Long Ron Ahart / Jerry Johnson 3.1334 -0.0099 3.1235
4 2026-07-02 Win 11-2 Jerry Johnson Ron Ahart / David Condle 3.1235 +0.0110 3.1345
5 2026-07-09 Loss 1-11 Ron Ahart Ramon Jimenez / Charles S Nichols 3.1345 -0.0146 3.1199
6 2026-07-09 Loss 1-11 Ray Galonis Ramon Jimenez / Ron Ahart 3.1199 -0.0146 3.1053
7 2026-07-23 Loss 8-11 Robert Gannon Eric Jones / John Kasberger 3.1053 -0.0046 3.1007
8 2026-07-23 Loss 9-11 Roger Thurman John Kasberger / Robert Gannon 3.1007 -0.0090 3.0917
9 2026-07-23 Win 11-8 John Kasberger Eric Jones / Roger Thurman 3.0917 +0.0060 3.0977
10 2026-07-23 Loss 6-11 Eric Jones Robert Gannon / Roger Thurman 3.0977 -0.0169 3.0808

Formula Homework

These rows show the team ratings used in the adjustment calculation. The computed delta is the signed rating change produced by the current v0.6 formula.

#Player Team ( AVG )Opponent Team ( AVG )Winner-Loser VIPR DiffComputed Delta
1 3.1665 3.1243 +0.0422 +0.0088
2 3.1175 3.1021 -0.0154 -0.0104
3 3.1377 3.1428 +0.0052 -0.0099
4 3.1066 3.1415 -0.0349 +0.0110
5 3.1658 2.9910 -0.1748 -0.0146
6 3.1651 2.9935 -0.1716 -0.0146
7 2.9514 3.1605 +0.2091 -0.0046
8 2.9193 2.9556 +0.0363 -0.0090
9 3.1059 2.9568 +0.1492 +0.0060
10 3.1406 2.8456 -0.2950 -0.0169

Rating movement formula

Team VIPR = average - (average - lower partner) * CRF, with CRF = 0.40.

Adjustment = 0.02 / (1 + 10 ^ (2.5 * (winner team VIPR - loser team VIPR))).

Winning partners both receive +adjustment. Losing partners both receive -adjustment.

Score margin is recorded for context but is not currently part of the v0.6 formula.

First game check: winner-loser VIPR diff +0.0422 -> computed delta +0.0088; 3.1350 +0.0088 = 3.1438